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Week 22 Swing Play Analysis

2025 Season • 1 games analysed

0%
Accuracy
0/1 picks
1
Variance Losses
Right process, wrong result
0
Predictable Misses
Could have seen coming
3
Swing Plays
High-impact moments

📊 Swing Play Breakdown

🔄
Turnovers
3
-13%

Game-by-Game Analysis

SEA@NE
29 - 13
✗ Variance Loss
Our pick: NEConfidence: 50%Predictability: 0%

This one stings. We liked New England at 50%, but variance had other plans. Key moments: New England's D.Maye turnover in Q3, New England's D.Maye turnover in Q4, and New England's D.Maye turnover in Q4. Only 0% of swing plays were predictable. This was bad luck, not bad process.

📊 Win Probability Flow

NE
SEA
100%50%0%StartQ1Q2Q3Q4
NE
SEA

Swing Plays (3)

NEQ3 0:16🔄 Turnover
-5.5%

(:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 37 for -7 yards (58-D.Hall). FUMBLES (58-D.Hall) [58-D.Hall], RECOVERED by SEA-91-B.Murphy at NE 37.

NEQ4 8:49🔄 Turnover
-4.1%

(8:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep middle intended for 18-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love at SEA 27. 20-J.Love pushed ob at NE 38 for 35 yards (32-T.Henderson).

NEQ4 4:37🔄 Turnover
-3.0%

(4:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle intended for 9-K.Boutte INTERCEPTED by 7-U.Nwosu (21-D.Witherspoon) [21-D.Witherspoon] at NE 45. 7-U.Nwosu for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

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