Swing Play Analysis
Understanding why predictions hit or miss through key plays
Analysed Accuracy
50.0%
1/2 picks
Correct Picks
1
across 1 weeks
Variance Losses
0
right process, wrong result
Predictable Misses
1
model improvement areas
Week-by-Week Analysis
Click a week to see detailed swing play breakdown
Understanding Our Analysis
Model Correct
Our pick was right. The swing plays aligned with our prediction or didn't change the outcome.
Variance Loss
Right process, wrong result. Unpredictable swing plays (fluky turnovers, unlikely big plays) decided the game.
Predictable Miss
Swing plays were foreseeable based on team tendencies. These inform model improvements.