4D

Fourth and Data

Week 18

16 games ยท Updated 02/01/2026 at 16:15

High+ Confidence
2/16
Value Bets
13/16

Saturday

Jan 3
2 games
9:30 PM UTC
Week 18
CAR
CAR
7-7
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด
@
TB
TB
7-7
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
CARTB +5.9TB
Score
18 - 24
TB Win
71%
Edge
+12.7%
Conf
Medium
1:00 AM UTC
Week 18
SEA
SEA
11-3
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
@
SF
SF
10-4
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
SEASF +0.2SF
Score
24 - 24
SF Win
58%
Edge
+11.0%
Conf
Low

Sunday

Jan 4
14 games
6:00 PM UTC
Week 18
CLE
CLE
3-11
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
@
CIN
CIN
4-10
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
CLECIN +9.0CIN
Score
18 - 27
CIN Win
80%
Edge
+4.2%
Conf
High
6:00 PM UTC
Week 18
TEN
TEN
2-12
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด
@
JAX
JAX
10-4
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
TENJAX +10.3JAX
Score
20 - 30
JAX Win
79%
Edge
-7.5%
Conf
Medium
6:00 PM UTC
Week 18
IND
IND
8-6
๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
@
HOU
HOU
9-5
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
INDHOU +5.8HOU
Score
21 - 26
HOU Win
68%
Edge
-14.9%
Conf
Medium
6:00 PM UTC
Week 18
GB
GB
9-5
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด
@
MIN
MIN
6-8
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
GBMIN +4.8MIN
Score
21 - 25
MIN Win
57%
Edge
-18.7%
Conf
Low
6:00 PM UTC
Week 18
NO
NO
4-10
๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
@
ATL
ATL
5-9
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข
NOATL +2.3ATL
Score
23 - 25
ATL Win
56%
Edge
-6.2%
Conf
Low
6:00 PM UTC
Week 18
DAL
DAL
6-8
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
@
NYG
NYG
2-12
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
DALNYG +1.0NYG
Score
24 - 26
DAL Win
52%
Edge
-11.3%
Conf
Low
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
NYJ
NYJ
3-11
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
@
BUF
BUF
10-4
๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
NYJBUF +13.1BUF
Score
15 - 28
BUF Win
81%
Edge
+6.7%
Conf
High
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
WAS
WAS
4-10
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข
@
PHI
PHI
9-5
๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข
WASPHI +9.7PHI
Score
18 - 27
PHI Win
76%
Edge
+12.3%
Conf
Medium
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
ARI
ARI
3-11
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
@
LA
LA
11-3
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
ARILA +5.4LA
Score
24 - 29
LA Win
66%
Edge
+16.3%
Conf
Medium
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
MIA
MIA
6-8
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด
@
NE
NE
11-3
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด
MIANE +8.9NE
Score
19 - 28
NE Win
62%
Edge
-20.5%
Conf
Low
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
DET
DET
8-6
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด
@
CHI
CHI
10-4
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข
DETCHI +1.2CHI
Score
27 - 28
CHI Win
51%
Edge
-6.2%
Conf
Low
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
LAC
LAC
10-4
๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
@
DEN
DEN
12-2
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
LACLAC -2.2DEN
Score
23 - 21
LAC Win
54%
Edge
+40.7%
Conf
Low
9:25 PM UTC
Week 18
KC
KC
6-8
๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
@
LV
LV
2-12
๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด
KCKC -5.6LV
Score
24 - 18
KC Win
67%
Edge
-3.7%
Conf
Medium
1:20 AM UTC
Week 18
BAL
BAL
7-7
๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข
@
PIT
PIT
8-6
๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข
BALBAL -4.8PIT
Score
23 - 18
BAL Win
60%
Edge
-2.3%
Conf
Low
Fourth and Data ยฉ 2026ยทFor entertainment purposes only
Model accuracy: ~72% ATS ยท Brier score: 0.20 ยท MAE: 10pts ยท Data sources: nfl_data_py, The Odds API, Sleeper