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Playoff Predictions

Monte Carlo bracket simulation • 10,000 simulations

Week:16
Updated:Jan 2, 4:15 PM

First-Round Bye Advantage

67% of teams with a bye win their divisional game. Rest & home field are critical.
DEN2.8% SB
LAR13.7% SB

Championship Probabilities

Wild Card
2
NENE47%
7
HOUHOU53%
3
JAXJAX49%
6
BUFBUF51%
4
PITPIT40%
5
LACLAC60%
Divisional
1-seed vs 4/5
1
DENDEN34%
5
LACLAC20%
2/7 vs 3/6
7
HOUHOU36%
6
BUFBUF41%
AFC Champ
BUFBUF30.2%
Super Bowl
BUF
19.6%
vs
PHI
16.7%
Wild Card
2
CHICHI61%
7
GBGB39%
3
PHIPHI72%
6
SFSF28%
4
TBTB79%
5
SEASEA21%
Divisional
1-seed vs 4/5
1
LARLAR63%
4
TBTB42%
2/7 vs 3/6
2
CHICHI19%
3
PHIPHI50%
NFC Champ
PHIPHI31.1%

Super Bowl Odds

AFC
Clinched(6)
6BUF
19.6%
3JAX
17.6%
7HOU
6.8%
2NE
4.5%
1DEN
2.8%
5LAC
2.2%
In The Hunt
4PIT
0.6%
NFC
Clinched(6)
3PHI
16.7%
1LAR
13.7%
2CHI
2.1%
6SF
1.6%
5SEA
0.5%
7GB
0.5%
In The Hunt
4TB
10.9%

Playoff predictions use Monte Carlo simulation based on model win probabilities.

For entertainment purposes only.