Skip to main content
4DFourth & Data
Fri 01:15ATLGB70%Sun 18:00CAR64%CLESun 18:00CIN55%PITSun 18:00HOUIND53%Sun 18:00KC59%MIASun 18:00LACBUF83%Sun 18:00NEJAX69%Sun 18:00NYJDET53%Sun 18:00SEA71%WASSun 18:00TEN53%NYGSun 21:05ARISF67%Sun 21:05MIN52%TBSun 21:25BALDAL54%Sun 21:25LVNO57%Mon 01:20LA65%DENTue 01:15PHI52%CHI
Steelers · 2026 · 1-1

Pittsburgh, every week

A deep dive after every game, a preview before it, and on a short week one piece: what went wrong and what to fix for the next opponent.

W20-13wk 1 vs ATLL3-20wk 2 at NE
Where they rank · of 32, through week 2
Offence31stEPA per play
Defence3rdEPA allowed
Third downs31st21% converted
Pass defence1stEPA per dropback allowed
Pass rush1st13.2% sack rate
Passing31stEPA per dropback
20,000 simulated seasons

Where the season lands

Played games fixed at their real results, the rest simulated with the model. Re-run every Tuesday; this run is through week 2.

Wins7.3
Playoffs22%
Division6%
Super Bowl0.2%
12345678910111213141516

Final win total, share of simulations. Gold is the most likely.

Steelers breakdowns

The first Steelers deep dive publishes the Tuesday after the next game.