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5Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Denver Broncos#57 yrs expTexas76 · 225 lbBest at separation, weak efficiency
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
40: below replacement
One number for how well Humphrey has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 50 (#101 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 7.5
Receptions over 1.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  LAC | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 10 | +1.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  JAX | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -0.4 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  KC | 5 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 39 | -1.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 | JAX | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 27 | +1.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  GB | 4 | 3 | 42 | 1 | 49 | +5.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  LV | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 16 | +1.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 |  WAS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | No |
| 25 wk 7 | DEN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | -0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  PHI | 8 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 118 | +2.1 | Yes |
| 24 wk 18 | KC | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 21 | +3.5 | Yes |
| 24 wk 15 |  IND | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -4.9 | No |
| 24 wk 12 | LV | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 13 | -2.9 | No |
| 24 wk 11 |  ATL | 4 | 4 | 52 | 1 | 13 | +6.0 | Yes |
| 24 wk 10 | KC | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 21 | +0.8 | Yes |
| 24 wk 9 |  BAL | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 15 | -6.5 | Yes |
| 24 wk 8 |  CAR | 6 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 54 | -5.1 | Yes |
| 24 wk 7 |  NO | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 27 | -0.9 | Yes |