This looks like a close contest, but we give a slight edge to DAL.

Key matchups

Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 2. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.

When the Ravens have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

BAL offence

DAL defence

OverallEPA per play

4th

30th

PassingEPA per dropback

6th

30th

RushingEPA per carry

2nd

23rd

Third downconversion rate

14th

32nd

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

19th

30th

Biggest gap: overall, where the Ravens offence has a 26-place edge.

When the Cowboys have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

DAL offence

BAL defence

OverallEPA per play

3rd

14th

PassingEPA per dropback

4th

11th

RushingEPA per carry

17th

26th

Third downconversion rate

1st

21st

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

4th

15th

Biggest gap: third down, where the Cowboys offence has a 20-place edge.

Only 2 weeks of data so far: treat ranks as a direction, not a verdict.

Form and history

Ravens this season

W41-23wk 1 at INDL17-24wk 2 vs NO

Cowboys this season

L20-28wk 1 at NYGW37-20wk 2 vs WAS

Last 1 meetingsBAL 1 · DAL 0

28-25BAL at DAL
2024-09

Injury report

Ravensmodel impact 0.0

Skylar ThompsonQB	IR
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · Wrist	IR
Adam RandallRB	IR
Bilhal KoneCB · Lower Body	IR
Danny PinterG · Knee	IR
T.J. TampaDB · Knee	IR
Jahquez RobinsonDB	IR
Zay FlowersWR · Hamstring	Questionable
Teddye BuchananLB · Knee - ACL	Questionable
Nnamdi MadubuikeDT · Neck	Questionable
Ronnie StanleyT · Toe	Questionable

Cowboysmodel impact 0.0

P.J. LockeDB · Foot	Out
Cobie DurantDB · Hamstring	Out
Malik DavisRB · Hip	IR
DJ RogersTE · Knee	IR
Princeton FantTE · Knee - ACL + MCL	IR
Devin MooreCB	IR
Marist LiufauLB · Forearm	IR
Kelvin GilliamDT · Triceps	IR
Tyler SmithOL · Thumb	IR
Matt HennessyOL · Neck	IR
Malik HookerDB · Forearm	Doubtful
DeMarvion OvershownLB · Hamstring	Questionable

Player props

Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.

Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.

The betting view

Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.

Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.