This looks like a close contest, but we give a slight edge to SEA. SEA have been the more consistent team recently, while WAS have struggled to find their form.

Key matchups

Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 2. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.

When the Seahawks have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

SEA offence

WAS defence

OverallEPA per play

10th

27th

PassingEPA per dropback

3rd

28th

RushingEPA per carry

24th

12th

Third downconversion rate

24th

28th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

12th

12th

Biggest gap: passing, where the Seahawks offence has a 25-place edge.

When the Commanders have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)

WAS offence

SEA defence

OverallEPA per play

11th

4th

PassingEPA per dropback

13th

9th

RushingEPA per carry

11th

2nd

Third downconversion rate

11th

5th

Pass protectionsack rate: allowed vs forced

2nd

15th

Biggest gap: pass protection, where the Commanders offence has a 13-place edge.

Only 2 weeks of data so far: treat ranks as a direction, not a verdict.

Form and history

Seahawks this season

W13-10wk 1 vs NEW31-7wk 2 at ARI

Commanders this season

L22-24wk 1 at PHIL20-37wk 2 at DAL

Last 3 meetingsSEA 2 · WAS 1

38-14SEA at WAS
2025-11

26-29WAS at SEA
2023-11

15-17SEA at WAS
2021-11

Injury report

Seahawksmodel impact 0.0

Jake BoboWR · Knee	IR
Irv CharlesWR	IR
Robbie OuztsRB	IR
Zach CharbonnetRB · Knee - ACL	PUP
Mason RichmanOL · Knee	IR
Bud ClarkDB · Ankle	IR
Sam DarnoldQB · Lower Body	Questionable
Jadarian PriceRB · Chest	Questionable
Aaron SmithLB	Questionable
Power EcholsLB	Questionable
Brandon PiliDT · Head	Questionable
Anthony BradfordOL · Knee	Questionable

Commandersmodel impact 0.0

Jeremy McNicholsRB · Quadriceps	IR
Deatrich WiseDE	PUP
Jordan MageeLB · Hamstring	IR
Laremy TunsilOL · Triceps	IR
Jer'Zhan NewtonDL · Pectoral	IR
Trey AmosDB · Ankle	IR
Jayden DanielsQB · Elbow	Doubtful
Chig OkonkwoTE · Hamstring	Questionable
Frankie LuvuLB · Groin	Questionable
Javon KinlawDT · Shoulder	Questionable
Sam CosmiOL · Concussion	Questionable
Brandon ColemanOL · Finger	Questionable

Player props

Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.

Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.

The betting view

Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.

Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.