Falcons · QB

Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta Falcons#92 yrs expWashington; Indiana75 · 220 lb

78Form

–Building

Quality starter#24 of 66 quarterbacks

Games14last 17

Completion59.6%227/381

Yards2757197 a game

TD–INT12–6

EPA / dropback+0.05

Skill profile · last 14 games · vs 66 quarterbacks

Elite sack avoidance, weak accuracy

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Jr.Position averageElite, 90th

AccuracyBelow avgcompletion % over expected

-3.916th pct

AggressionAbove avgavg intended air yards

9.3 yd89th pct

EfficiencyEPA per dropback

+0.0563rd pct

Ball securityinterception-worthy throws

3.5% INT-worthy39th pct

Sack avoidanceElitesack rate

4.3% sacked93rd pct

Legsrushing EPA per game

+0.55/g57th pct

F&D score · current form, last 14 games

78: quality starter

One number for how well Jr. has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted

Consistencyhow steady game to game

Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half

Trend, last 6 gamesSteady

Schedule facedSoft

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top quarterbacks · F&D form now

Dak Prescott99

Derek Carr98

Jordan Love97 Drake Maye96 Brock Purdy95

Michael Penix Jr. · #2478

Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 14

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Passing TDs over 1.5

Cleared3/14

Market says31%

Price3.05

This week · draftkings

Passing yards over 205.5

Cleared7/14

Market says50%

Price1.88

This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 3.5

Cleared7/14

Market says51%

Price1.85

Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

8/14games with 200+ yds

4/14games with 250+ yds

2/14games with 300+ yds

0/14games with 350+ yds

Role

Game by game

Game log · last 14

Every game

Game	Opponent	Cmp	Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	Rush yds	EPA	Over 205.5
25 wk 11	CAR	13	16	175	0	0	0	9	+10.7	No
25 wk 10	IND	12	28	177	1	0	3	-1	-8.1	No
25 wk 9	NE	22	37	221	3	0	1	19	+3.7	Yes
25 wk 7	SF	21	38	241	1	0	2	6	-6.7	Yes
25 wk 6	BUF	20	32	250	1	0	2	6	-0.4	Yes
25 wk 4	WAS	20	26	313	2	1	1	2	+18.3	Yes
25 wk 3	CAR	18	36	172	0	2	0	9	-18.8	No
25 wk 2	MIN	13	21	135	0	0	3	-1	-3.2	No
25 wk 1	TB	27	42	298	1	0	1	21	+9.6	Yes
24 wk 18	CAR	21	38	312	2	1	1	5	+5.5	Yes
24 wk 17	WAS	19	35	223	1	1	2	3	-0.6	Yes
24 wk 16	NYG	18	27	202	0	1	0	3	+6.5	No
24 wk 11	DEN	2	4	24	0	0	1	0	+1.8	No
24 wk 7	SEA	1	1	14	0	0	0	0	+1.4	No