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10Drake Maye
New England Patriots#102 yrs expNorth Carolina76 · 225 lbElite accuracy, less so ball security
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
96: elite creator
One number for how well Maye has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 84 (#12 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 259.5
Rushing yards over 26.5
Where Maye can hurt the Lions
How he gets his production, set against how the Lions have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
How DET defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Detroit rank 24th in EPA per dropback allowed over their last 17 games, and 28th against deep balls.
- Pressure: Detroit are 10th at getting sacks, and New England are 10th at avoiding them.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 259.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  GB | 21 | 38 | 299 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -5.7 | Yes |
| 26 wk 8 |  MIA | 16 | 20 | 199 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.7 | No |
| 26 wk 7 |  CHI | 24 | 31 | 321 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | +10.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 6 |  NYJ | 18 | 32 | 235 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | +12.6 | No |
| 26 wk 5 |  LV | 26 | 34 | 374 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | +29.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  BUF | 22 | 37 | 269 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 54 | +11.0 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  JAX | 14 | 25 | 199 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | -14.2 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  PIT | 14 | 22 | 208 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | -1.3 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  SEA | 23 | 33 | 178 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 47 | -4.6 | No |
| 25 wk 18 | MIA | 14 | 18 | 191 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41 | +8.7 | No |
| 25 wk 17 | NYJ | 19 | 21 | 256 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | +29.2 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  BAL | 31 | 44 | 380 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | +15.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 | BUF | 14 | 23 | 155 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 43 | -3.4 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  NYG | 24 | 31 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +11.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  CIN | 22 | 35 | 294 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | +6.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 | NYJ | 25 | 34 | 281 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +12.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 |  TB | 16 | 31 | 270 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | +6.3 | Yes |