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4DFourth & Data
Fri 01:15ATLGB70%Sun 18:00CAR64%CLESun 18:00CIN55%PITSun 18:00HOUIND53%Sun 18:00KC59%MIASun 18:00LACBUF83%Sun 18:00NEJAX69%Sun 18:00NYJDET53%Sun 18:00SEA71%WASSun 18:00TEN53%NYGSun 21:05ARISF67%Sun 21:05MIN52%TBSun 21:25BALDAL54%Sun 21:25LVNO57%Mon 01:20LA65%DENTue 01:15PHI52%CHI
Rams
12-5 · 30.5 pts/g
Final · week 21
27–31
full breakdown lands the morning after
Seahawks
14-3 · 28.4 pts/g
Model
SEA 58%
Market
SEA 50%
Model pickSEA 58%Low confidence
F&D score73out of 100
MarketSEA 50%no odds posted yet
vs market+7.9points, model minus market
Total45.2SEA by 4.9

We lean toward SEA in this one. SEA have been rolling at home, winning 5 of their last 5.

Form and history

Last 5 meetingsLA 3 · SEA 2
37-38LA at SEA
2025-12
19-21SEA at LA
2025-11
30-25SEA at LA
2025-01
26-20LA at SEA
2024-11
16-17SEA at LA
2023-11

Injury report

Ramsmodel impact 0.0

No players on the injury report.

Seahawksmodel impact 0.0
Tyrone BrodenWROut
Jacardia WrightRBOut
Zach CharbonnetRB · KneeOut
Shane LemieuxOLOut
Cody WhiteWR · GroinIR
Tory HortonWR · ShinIR
Kenny McIntoshRB · Knee - ACLIR
Chazz SurrattLB · AnkleIR
AJ FinleyDB · KneeIR
Amari KightOT · KneeDoubtful
Robbie OuztsRB · NeckQuestionable
Josh JonesOL · KneeQuestionable

Player props

Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.

PlayerMarketLinePriceMarket overLast 10 gamesHit rate
Matthew StaffordLAPassing yards255.51.88–
40%
Sam DarnoldSEAPassing yards232.51.88–
80%
Matthew StaffordLAPassing TDs1.51.70–
60%
Sam DarnoldSEArole upPassing TDs1.51.95–
60%
AJ BarnerSEARushing yards0.51.95–
70%
Blake CorumLArole upRushing yards32.51.93–
20%
George HolaniSEARushing yards9.51.86–
50%
Kenneth Walker IIISEARushing yards80.51.88–
20%
Kyren WilliamsLARushing yards53.51.92–
100%
Matthew StaffordLArole upRushing yards0.52.43–
50%
Puka NacuaLArole upRushing yards4.51.83–
40%
Rashid ShaheedSEARushing yards5.51.85–
20%
Sam DarnoldSEArole upRushing yards4.51.82–
70%
AJ BarnerSEAReceiving yards28.51.92–
20%
Blake CorumLAReceiving yards0.52.25–
40%
Colby ParkinsonLArole upReceiving yards26.51.91–
0%
Cooper KuppSEArole upReceiving yards31.51.93–
50%
Davante AdamsLAReceiving yards49.51.88–
80%
Elijah ArroyoSEAReceiving yards6.51.88–
60%
Eric SaubertSEArole upReceiving yards0.53.20–
80%
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEArole upReceiving yards92.51.90–
30%
Jordan WhittingtonLAReceiving yards6.51.91–
86%
Kenneth Walker IIISEAReceiving yards22.51.89–
30%
Konata MumpfieldLAReceiving yards2.51.87–
50%
Kyren WilliamsLAReceiving yards14.51.93–
30%
Puka NacuaLAReceiving yards91.51.90–
70%
Rashid ShaheedSEAReceiving yards22.51.93–
70%
Terrance FergusonLAReceiving yards14.51.87–
70%
Tyler HigbeeLArole upReceiving yards15.51.88–
70%
AJ BarnerSEAReceptions3.52.34–
10%
Blake CorumLArole upReceptions0.51.95–
40%
Colby ParkinsonLAReceptions2.51.70–
0%
Cooper KuppSEArole upReceptions2.51.58–
70%
Davante AdamsLAReceptions4.52.22–
90%
Elijah ArroyoSEAReceptions0.51.57–
90%
Eric SaubertSEArole upReceptions0.53.10–
80%
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAReceptions6.51.83–
40%
Jordan WhittingtonLArole upReceptions1.52.75–
71%
Kenneth Walker IIISEAReceptions2.51.59–
30%
Konata MumpfieldLAReceptions0.51.80–
50%

"Market over" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Green bars are games that cleared the line. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit on 2026 data, so we show the market and the history, not a tip.

The betting view

Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.

LA odds–
SEA odds–
LA fair odds–
SEA fair odds–
Model vs marketSEA +7.9
Kelly stake (capped)3.9%
Book–
Rest+1d

Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.

What the model sees

Model favors SEA (58%) by 4.9 points.