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44Harold Fannin Jr.
Cleveland Browns#441 yrs expBowling Green76 · 241 lbElite volume, weak efficiency
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
59: replacement level
One number for how well Jr. has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 50 (#52 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 38.5
Receptions over 3.5
Where Jr. can hurt the Panthers
How he gets his production, set against how the Panthers have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How CAR defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Carolina rank 25th against short throws, which make up 80% of Jr.'s targets.
- Work the left side: 40% of his targets go that way and Carolina rank 29th defending throws there.
- Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 27th percentile for separation and 48th for hands, and Michael Jackson and Corey Thornton both allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
CAR's corners, last 17 games
Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.
| Corner | Targets | Yds / target | Catch % | Depth faced | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson | 99 | 7.1 | 58% | 10.6 | 78 |
| Jaycee Horn | 67 | 7.9 | 49% | 10.8 | 81 |
| Chau Smith-Wade | 38 | 8.4 | 87% | 6.6 | 93 |
| Corey Thornton | 16 | 5.1 | 56% | 10.2 | 69 |
The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 38.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 2 |  TB | 6 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 24 | +2.1 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  JAX | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 10 | -0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  PIT | 2 | 2 | 30 | 1 | 29 | +1.7 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  BUF | 6 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 27 | +0.5 | No |
| 25 wk 15 |  CHI | 14 | 7 | 48 | 0 | 93 | -11.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  TEN | 11 | 8 | 114 | 1 | 74 | +5.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 |  SF | 5 | 3 | 43 | 1 | 26 | +1.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  LV | 6 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 4 | +0.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  BAL | 5 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 37 | -1.8 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  NYJ | 7 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 45 | -0.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 8 |  NE | 8 | 6 | 62 | 1 | 50 | -0.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  MIA | 5 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 19 | +1.8 | No |
| 25 wk 6 | PIT | 10 | 7 | 81 | 0 | 70 | +1.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 5 |  MIN | 4 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 5 | +1.1 | No |
| 25 wk 4 |  DET | 6 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 69 | -1.7 | No |
| 25 wk 3 |  GB | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 6 | +0.3 | No |
| 25 wk 2 | BAL | 5 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 27 | +1.6 | Yes |