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4DFourth & Data
Fri 01:15SEA53%DENSun 14:30HOUJAX64%Sun 18:00BAL71%CLESun 18:00CAR57%PHISun 18:00CHI53%ATLSun 18:00NONYG60%Sun 18:00NYJNE82%Sun 18:00PIT51%TBSun 18:00TENIND70%Sun 21:05ARILA69%Sun 21:25BUF70%LVSun 21:25LACKC87%Mon 01:20DAL53%GBTue 01:15WASSF85%
Justin Jefferson18
Vikings · WR

Justin Jefferson

Minnesota Vikings#186 yrs expLSU73 · 192 lb
77Form
91Established
Quality starter#54 of 144 wide receiversBelow his usual: 14 under his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Targets1347.9 a game
Catches8160% caught
Yards98058 a game
TDs4
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 144 wide receivers

Elite volume, weak efficiency

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 96th percentileDepth: 32th percentileSeparation: 71th percentileAfter the catch: 80th percentileHands: 46th percentileEfficiency: 20th percentileVolume96thDepth32ndSeparation71stAfter the catch80thHands46thEfficiency20th
JeffersonPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeEliteshare of team targets
29.7%96th pct
DepthBelow avgavg depth of target
10.1 yd32nd pct
SeparationAbove avgyards of separation at the catch
3.08 yd71st pct
After the catchAbove avgYAC over expected per catch
+1.1 yd80th pct
Handsdrop rate
4.5% drops46th pct
EfficiencyBelow avgEPA per target
+0.0320th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

77: quality starter

One number for how well Jefferson has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 91 (#17 of 121).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
56
Consistencyhow steady game to game
6
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
99
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedAverage

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top wide receivers · F&D form now
Puka Nacua99DeMario Douglas99
Brandon Aiyuk98
Drake London98Alec Pierce97
Justin Jefferson · #5477
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 1 games010–19 yds: 1 games20–29 yds: 1 games2030–39 yds: 3 games40–49 yds: 2 games4050–59 yds: 1 games60–69 yds: 1 games6070–79 yds: 3 games80–89 yds: 1 games8090–99 yds: 1 games100–109 yds: 1 games100110–119 yds: 0 games120–129 yds: 1 games120
11/17games with 40+ yds
8/17games with 60+ yds
4/17games with 80+ yds
2/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 7.9 targets25 wk 5: 1125 wk 7: 1025 wk 8: 1125 wk 9: 925 wk 10: 1225 wk 11: 925 wk 12: 625 wk 13: 625 wk 14: 425 wk 15: 825 wk 16: 825 wk 17: 525 wk 18: 1126 wk 1: 926 wk 2: 626 wk 3: 226 wk 5: 725 wk 526 wk 5
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 5NO7679174+5.5
26 wk 3TB2232018+1.7
26 wk 2CHI6355091+1.5
26 wk 1GB9892280+12.5
25 wk 18GB118101069+4.4
25 wk 17DET5430020+0.7
25 wk 16NYG8685059+8.3
25 wk 15DAL8222071-6.6
25 wk 14WAS4211040+0.2
25 wk 13SEA624048-7.3
25 wk 12GB6448058-2.5
25 wk 11CHI9561082-6.8
25 wk 10BAL124370214-11.1
25 wk 9DET9647157+0.8
25 wk 8LAC11774080-2.4
25 wk 7PHI105790122-3.6
25 wk 5CLE1171230166+8.6