JAX
BAL
CIN
ATL
CLE
IND
DEN
CAR
DET
MIA
NYJ
KC
LAC
LV
SF
SEA
GB
NE
TB
CHI
BUF
MIN
This looks like a close contest, but we give a slight edge to NYG. PHI have been struggling, dropping 5 of their last 5.
Matchups to watch
How each player gets his production, set against how this opponent has defended it over their last 17 games. After the game we grade who won each one.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How PHI defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Philadelphia are mid-table or better at every depth over their last 17 games. Nabers's likeliest route is intermediate throws (26% of his targets), where they rank 16th.
- Don't force short throws: they've been Nabers's worst return (-0.05 EPA a target), and Philadelphia are 2nd there.
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How NYG defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- the Giants rank 27th against intermediate throws, which make up 19% of Goedert's targets.
- Work the middle: 21% of his targets go that way and the Giants rank 26th defending throws there.
- Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 40th percentile for separation and 36th for hands, and Deonte Banks and Andru Phillips both allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
Unit by unit
Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 8. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.
When the Giants have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)NYG offencePHI defenceBiggest gap: rushing, where the Giants offence has a 15-place edge.
When the Eagles have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)PHI offenceNYG defenceBiggest gap: overall, where the Giants defence has a 14-place edge.
Form and history
Giants this season
28-20wk 1 vs DALL
6-28wk 2 at LAW
12-7wk 3 vs TENW
36-24wk 4 vs ARIT
27-27wk 5 at WASL
27-34wk 6 vs NOW
27-21wk 7 at HOUEagles this season20-38NYG at PHI2025-10
17-34PHI at NYG2025-10
13-20NYG at PHI2025-01
28-3PHI at NYG2024-10
10-27PHI at NYG2024-01
Injury report
Giantsmodel impact 0.0| Jaxson DartQB · Knee - Meniscus | IR |
| Braxton BerriosWR · Foot | IR |
| Calvin Austin IIIWR · Knee | IR |
| Gunner OlszewskiWR · Achilles | IR |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · Hamstring | IR |
| Thaddeus DixonCB · Achilles | IR |
| Jarrick Bernard-ConverseCB · Knee | IR |
| Korie BlackCB | IR |
| Roy Robertson-HarrisDE · Achilles | IR |
| Chauncey GolstonDE · Neck | IR |
| Brian BurnsDE · Knee - ACL | IR |
| Tremaine EdmundsLB · Chest | IR |
Eaglesmodel impact 0.0| Uar BernardDT | Out |
| Jalen HurtsQB · Calf | IR |
| Johnny WilsonWR · Knee | IR |
| Will ShipleyRB · Foot | IR |
| Dameon PierceRB | IR |
| Tank BigsbyRB · Abdomen | IR |
| Andre' SamDB · Foot | IR |
| Tucker LargeDB | PUP |
| Britain CoveyWR · Knee | Questionable |
| Dontayvion WicksWR · Ankle | Questionable |
| DeVonta SmithWR · Hamstring | Questionable |
| Michael Carter IICB · Abdomen | Questionable |
Player props
Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.
Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.
The betting view
Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.
Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.
What the model sees
Model favors NYG (61%) by 1.5 points.