Raiders at Chargers: week 2

Raiders

won by 12

Final · week 2

26–14

at SoFi Stadium · Sun 20 Sept

Chargers

lost by 12

How the game swung

The Chargers' chance of winning, play by play. The numbered pins are the biggest swings, dots along the bottom are scores.

■ Chargers ahead■ Raiders ahead① biggest swings● scoring plays

The five plays that decided it

Q4 3:52 - LA Chargers turnover by O.Hampton (-35% WPA) flipped the script.

Q1 9:05 · Turnover

K.Cousins EPA -4.8

8-K.Cousins pass deep left intended for 1-T.Tucker INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Hart at LAC 15. 20-C.Hart to LAC 17 for 2 yards (2-A.Jeanty).

+13%win chance to LAC

Q1 3:26 · Turnover

J.Herbert EPA -4.6

(Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left intended for 83-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses at LV 48. 35-H.Masses to LAC 23 for 29 yards (28-K.Vidal).

+14%win chance to LV

Q1 0:40 · Fourth down · nobody saw this coming

A.Jeanty EPA -4.5

(:40) Direct snap to 2-A.Jeanty. 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to LAC 1 for no gain (53-D.Phillips; 23-T.Jefferson).

+10%win chance to LAC

Q3 11:14 · Big play · nobody saw this coming

J.Herbert EPA +4.6

(Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 9-T.Harris pushed ob at LV 5 for 53 yards (11-J.Chinn).

+18%win chance to LAC

Q4 3:52 · Turnover

O.Hampton EPA -7.4

(Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton up the middle to LV 46 for 2 yards (17-N.Dean). FUMBLES (17-N.Dean), RECOVERED by LV-11-J.Chinn at LV 41. 11-J.Chinn to LAC 16 for 43 yards (10-J.Herbert).

+35%win chance to LV

Every drive

Raiders drive left to right, Chargers right to left. Faded bars ended in a turnover or a stop.

Missed FG · 7 pl · 28 yds

Turnover · 5 pl · 30 yds

Punt · 6 pl · 15 yds

Punt · 3 pl · 7 yds

Turnover · 3 pl · 5 yds

Downs · 5 pl · 22 yds

Punt · 3 pl · 8 yds

TD · 3 pl · 56 yds

TD · 10 pl · 79 yds

Punt · 5 pl · 19 yds

Punt · 6 pl · 21 yds

FG · 5 pl · 43 yds

Half · 1 pl · 17 yds

Punt · 3 pl · 1 yds

TD · 7 pl · 79 yds

TD · 11 pl · 79 yds

Punt · 3 pl · 9 yds

Punt · 8 pl · 18 yds

Punt · 6 pl · 28 yds

Punt · 3 pl · 9 yds

Turnover · 6 pl · 17 yds

TD · 3 pl · 16 yds

Turnover · 3 pl · 4 yds

Punt · 3 pl · 8 yds

Safety · 1 pl · 0 yds

Half · 0 pl · 0 yds

LV goal2040504020LAC goal

Side by side

308

Total yards

310

-0.10

EPA per play

-0.26

35%

Success rate

35%

First downs

Sacks taken

Turnovers

4/13

Third downs

5/14

Raiders leaders

PassingK.Cousins19/29 · 253 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT

RushingA.Jeanty21 car · 48 yds

ReceivingT.Tucker5/7 · 119 yds

Chargers leaders

PassingJ.Herbert15/27 · 192 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT

RushingO.Hampton23 car · 94 yds

ReceivingT.Harris1/3 · 53 yds

Scoring

Q2 11:57	(No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 1-T.Tucker for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	6-0
Q2 11:51	14-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	7-0
Q2 05:30	(Shotgun) 8-O.Hampton left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.	7-6
Q2 05:26	11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	7-7
Q2 00:08	(:08) 14-M.Gay 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	10-7
Q3 09:53	(Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 86-O.Gadsden for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	10-13
Q3 09:49	11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.	10-14
Q3 03:59	(Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 82-C.White for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	16-14
Q3 03:53	14-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	17-14
Q4 03:03	(Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 82-C.White for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.	23-14
Q4 02:59	14-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.	24-14
Q4 01:46	(Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete deep left to 12-D.Davis. PENALTY on LAC-76-J.Alt, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY - No	26-14

How the model did

Right

Before kickoff the model had LV 56%, the market LAC 73%. It finished LV 26, LAC 14.

Pick published 20 Sept, 16:01 UK, before kickoff.