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22Derrick Henry
Baltimore Ravens#2210 yrs expAlabama75 · 252 lbElite beating expectation, weak elusiveness
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
93: elite creator
One number for how well Henry has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 93 (#8 of 69).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Rushing yards over 88.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Car | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Over 88.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  ATL | 24 | 102 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  TEN | 23 | 73 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  DAL | 26 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  NO | 16 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  IND | 24 | 144 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 |  PIT | 20 | 126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 |  GB | 36 | 216 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 |  NE | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  CIN | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 | PIT | 25 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 | CIN | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | No |
| 25 wk 12 |  NYJ | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | No |
| 25 wk 11 |  CLE | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 |  MIN | 20 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  MIA | 19 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 8 |  CHI | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  LA | 24 | 122 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | Yes |