Seahawks · QB

Sam Darnold

Seattle Seahawks#148 yrs expUSC75 · 225 lb

76Form

82Established

Quality starter#27 of 68 quarterbacks

Games17last 17

Completion66.5%316/475

Yards3898229 a game

TD–INT27–17

EPA / dropback+0.07

Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 68 quarterbacks

Best at accuracy, weak legs

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

DarnoldPosition averageElite, 90th

AccuracyAbove avgcompletion % over expected

+3.386th pct

Aggressionavg intended air yards

7.9 yd61st pct

EfficiencyAbove avgEPA per dropback

+0.0776th pct

Ball securityinterception-worthy throws

3.6% INT-worthy36th pct

Sack avoidanceAbove avgsack rate

5.9% sacked67th pct

LegsBelow avgrushing EPA per game

-0.89/g8th pct

F&D score · current form, last 17 games

76: quality starter

One number for how well Darnold has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 82 (#14 of 44).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted

Consistencyhow steady game to game

Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half

Trend, last 6 gamesCooling

Schedule facedAverage

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top quarterbacks · F&D form now

Derek Carr99

Jordan Love98 Brock Purdy97 Joe Burrow96 Drake Maye96

Sam Darnold · #2776

Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 17

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Passing TDs over 1.5

Cleared8/17

Market says42%

Price2.23

This week · draftkings

Passing yards over 221.5

Cleared9/17

Market says50%

Price1.90

This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 4.5

Cleared8/17

Market says50%

Price1.88

Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

10/17games with 200+ yds

7/17games with 250+ yds

3/17games with 300+ yds

1/17games with 350+ yds

Role

Game by game

Game log · last 17

Every game

Game	Opponent	Cmp	Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	Rush yds	EPA	Over 221.5
26 wk 5	SF	18	29	195	1	2	5	5	-12.0	No
26 wk 4	LAC	13	22	168	2	1	3	6	-5.2	No
26 wk 3	WAS	31	45	379	4	2	0	5	+4.1	Yes
26 wk 1	NE	1	2	13	0	0	1	0	-2.1	No
25 wk 18	SF	20	26	198	0	0	2	9	+4.8	No
25 wk 17	CAR	18	27	147	1	1	3	2	-7.6	No
25 wk 16	LA	22	34	270	2	2	4	7	-2.7	Yes
25 wk 15	IND	22	36	271	0	0	1	5	+4.6	Yes
25 wk 14	ATL	20	30	249	3	1	2	23	+10.0	Yes
25 wk 13	MIN	14	26	128	0	0	4	0	-8.5	No
25 wk 12	TEN	16	26	244	2	0	1	-1	+9.4	Yes
25 wk 11	LA	29	44	279	0	4	0	11	-13.1	Yes
25 wk 10	ARI	10	12	178	1	1	1	-2	+4.1	No
25 wk 9	WAS	21	24	330	4	1	0	0	+22.4	Yes
25 wk 7	HOU	17	31	213	1	1	2	1	-5.6	No
25 wk 6	JAX	16	27	295	2	0	1	2	+10.5	Yes
25 wk 5	TB	28	34	341	4	1	0	0	+23.4	Yes