ARI
DAL
TB
BAL
BUF
CLE
PIT
IND
JAX
LV
DET
TEN
CIN
LAC
LA
KC
DEN
MIA
WAS
This looks like a close contest, but we give a slight edge to CHI. CHI have been hot lately, winning 4 of their last 5.
Matchups to watch
How each player gets his production, set against how this opponent has defended it over their last 17 games. After the game we grade who won each one.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How SEA defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Seattle are mid-table or better at every depth over their last 17 games. Odunze's likeliest route is short throws (42% of his targets), where they rank 14th.
- Don't force intermediate throws: they've been Odunze's worst return (-0.03 EPA a target), and Seattle are 1st there.
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How CHI defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Chicago rank 32nd against deep balls, and 12% of Smith-Njigba's targets travel 20+ yards (the average WR is at 17%).
- Work the middle: 23% of his targets go that way and Chicago rank 30th defending throws there.
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
How SEA defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Seattle rank 2nd in EPA per dropback allowed over their last 17 games. Their weakest area is short throws (14th).
- Pressure: Seattle are 14th at getting sacks, and Chicago are 6th at avoiding them.
Unit by unit
Each unit ranked against all 32 teams on 2026 play-by-play through week 7. Longer bar is better; a gold rank marks the side with the edge.
When the Bears have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)CHI offenceSEA defenceBiggest gap: rushing, where the Seahawks defence has a 13-place edge.
When the Seahawks have the balloffence against defence, rank of 32 (1st is best)SEA offenceCHI defenceBiggest gap: third down, where the Bears defence has a 18-place edge.
Form and history
Bears this season
59-37wk 1 at CARL
3-9wk 2 vs MINW
27-7wk 3 vs PHIW
23-12wk 4 vs NYJL
7-31wk 5 at GBW
31-23wk 6 at ATLW
30-24wk 7 vs NESeahawks this season
6-3SEA at CHI2024-12
25-24CHI at SEA2021-12
Injury report
Bearsmodel impact 0.0| Anthony Johnson Jr.DB | Out |
| Brittain BrownRB | IR |
| Nikola KalinicTE · Knee | IR |
| Cole KmetTE · Knee | IR |
| Hayden LargeTE | IR |
| Dayo OdeyingboDE · Quadriceps | IR |
| Tony Fields IILB | IR |
| Nephi SewellLB · Concussion | IR |
| Braxton JonesOL · Knee | IR |
| Coby BryantDB · Knee | IR |
| Kyle MonangaiRB · Toe | Questionable |
| Malik Muhammad IICB · Toe | Questionable |
Seahawksmodel impact -1.2| Jacardia WrightRB · Foot | Out |
| Jake BoboWR · Knee | IR |
| Robbie OuztsRB | IR |
| Jadarian PriceRB · Chest | IR |
| Elijah ArroyoTE · Shoulder | IR |
| Mason RichmanOL · Knee | IR |
| Julian NealDB · Hamstring | IR |
| Bud ClarkDB · Ankle | IR |
| Charles CrossOL · Ankle | Doubtful |
| Drew LockQB · Elbow | Questionable |
| Velus Jones Jr.WR · Hamstring | Questionable |
| Rashid ShaheedWR · Knee | Questionable |
Player props
Every posted line with the market's view and each player's last ten games against it.
Player props for this game haven't been posted by the books yet. They usually land Thursday to Saturday.
The betting view
Posted odds, the same odds with the bookmaker's margin removed, and where the model disagrees.
Read this before you bet: picking winners is not beating the price. At posted odds our 2025 flat-bet ROI was −6.9%. Use the model as one view of the game, not a tip.
What the model sees
Model favors CHI (52%) by 0.0 points.