DEN
HOU
JAX
BAL
CLE
CAR
PHI
CHI
ATL
NO
NYG
NYJ
NE
PIT
TB
TEN
IND
ARI
LA
BUF
LV
KC
DAL
GB
WAS
SF
How the game swung
The Seahawks' chance of winning, play by play. The numbered pins are the biggest swings, dots along the bottom are scores.
The five plays that decided it
Q1 10:13 - Seattle turnover by M.Dickson (+16% WPA) sealed it.
14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 23-E.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 45-T.Tuipulotu at LAC 44. 45-T.Tuipulotu to LAC 48 for 4 yards (23-E.Wilson).
4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to LAC 23, Center-41-C.Stoll. 12-D.Davis MUFFS catch, touched at LAC 25, RECOVERED by SEA-57-C.O'Toole at LAC 23.
(No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones at LAC 40. 13-E.Jones to LAC 20 for 20 yards (28-K.Vidal; 10-J.Herbert).
(Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston to SEA 46 for 44 yards (24-R.Thomas).
(No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 20 for -9 yards (7-U.Nwosu). FUMBLES (7-U.Nwosu) [7-U.Nwosu], RECOVERED by SEA-58-D.Hall at LAC 20. PENALTY on LAC-69-C.Strange, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 20.
Who won the matchups
Before the game we said where each player's edge was. Here's whether it happened.
the Chargers won it: Smith-Njigba held to 76 yards on 6 targets, against his usual 110.
Seattle won it: Herbert managed -0.23 EPA a dropback, well below his usual -0.04.
Every drive
Chargers drive left to right, Seahawks right to left. Faded bars ended in a turnover or a stop.
Turnover · 1 pl · 0 ydsTurnover · 1 pl · 0 ydsFG · 7 pl · 25 ydsPunt · 3 pl · 17 ydsTD · 1 pl · 23 ydsPunt · 3 pl · 7 ydsPunt · 5 pl · 24 ydsPunt · 5 pl · 22 ydsPunt · 3 pl · 5 ydsPunt · 3 pl · -1 ydsPunt · 5 pl · 24 ydsPunt · 3 pl · 6 ydsTD · 7 pl · 65 ydsPunt · 3 pl · -4 ydsPunt · 3 pl · 12 ydsTurnover · 2 pl · 2 ydsTD · 2 pl · 20 ydsFG · 4 pl · 35 ydsTD · 8 pl · 63 ydsTD · 11 pl · 56 ydsFG · 8 pl · 22 ydsTD · 16 pl · 70 ydsPunt · 5 pl · 23 ydsFG · 7 pl · 74 ydsPunt · 5 pl · -10 ydsTurnover · 3 pl · 9 ydsHalf · 0 pl · 0 ydsSide by side
Chargers leadersSeahawks leadersScoring
| Q1 11:58 | | 11-C.Dicker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. | 3-0 |
| Q1 10:03 | | (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 23-E.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 3-6 |
| Q1 09:55 | | 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. | 3-7 |
| Q2 06:19 | | 22-R.Shaheed left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 3-13 |
| Q2 00:47 | | (:47) (Shotgun) 23-E.Wilson left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 3-19 |
| Q2 00:43 | | 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. | 3-20 |
| Q2 00:05 | | (:05) 11-C.Dicker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. | 6-20 |
| Q3 10:26 | | 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 15-T.Horton for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 6-26 |
| Q3 10:23 | | 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. | 6-27 |
| Q3 04:58 | | (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 28-K.Vidal for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The touchdown was assisted by replay. | 12-27 |
| Q3 04:53 | | 11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. | 13-27 |
| Q3 01:22 | | 5-J.Myers 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. | 13-30 |
| Q4 07:52 | | 8-O.Hampton left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 19-30 |
| Q4 07:48 | | 11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. | 20-30 |
| Q4 02:17 | | 11-C.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. | 23-30 |
How the model did
Before kickoff the model had SEA 80%, the market SEA 76%. It finished LAC 23, SEA 30.
Pick published 4 Oct, 10:11 UK, before kickoff.