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86Dalton Schultz
Houston Texans#868 yrs expStanford77 · 242 lbBest at volume, weak after the catch
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
93: elite creator
One number for how well Schultz has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 85 (#16 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 29.5
Receptions over 3.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  TEN | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 42 | +2.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  DAL | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4 | +3.1 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  IND | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 27 | -1.0 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  CIN | 14 | 12 | 140 | 0 | 104 | +7.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  BUF | 8 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 26 | -2.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 | IND | 4 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 37 | +5.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 |  LAC | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  LV | 5 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 27 | +3.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  ARI | 9 | 8 | 76 | 1 | 46 | +5.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  KC | 4 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 14 | +0.0 | No |
| 25 wk 13 | IND | 8 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 35 | +1.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 | BUF | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 59 | -1.4 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | TEN | 9 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 60 | +0.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 |  JAX | 11 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 91 | +4.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  DEN | 8 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 45 | +1.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 8 |  SF | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 37 | +1.6 | No |
| 25 wk 7 |  SEA | 10 | 9 | 98 | 0 | 33 | +6.2 | Yes |