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9Isaiah Likely
New York Giants#94 yrs expCoastal Carolina76 · 241 lbElite volume, weak separation
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
88: high-end starter
One number for how well Likely has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 98 (#2 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 45.5
Receptions over 4.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 45.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  PHI | 6 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 23 | +3.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 7 |  HOU | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 23 | -0.4 | No |
| 26 wk 6 |  NO | 11 | 6 | 99 | 1 | 128 | -1.4 | Yes |
| 26 wk 5 |  WAS | 13 | 11 | 94 | 2 | 105 | +10.4 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  ARI | 12 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 112 | -3.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  TEN | 5 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 21 | -1.1 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  LA | 10 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 48 | -0.4 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  DAL | 8 | 8 | 78 | 2 | 64 | +11.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 |  PIT | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 24 | +2.4 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  GB | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 17 | +3.3 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  NE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | No |
| 25 wk 14 | PIT | 6 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 31 | +2.5 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  CIN | 6 | 5 | 95 | 0 | 71 | -0.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  NYJ | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 43 | -2.1 | No |
| 25 wk 11 |  CLE | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 20 | -1.0 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  MIN | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 25 | -2.3 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  MIA | 4 | 3 | 60 | 0 | 34 | +3.0 | Yes |