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87Travis Kelce
Kansas City Chiefs#8713 yrs expCincinnati77 · 250 lbElite volume, weak hands
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
95: elite creator
One number for how well Kelce has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 89 (#11 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 48.5
Receptions over 4.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 48.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  NYJ | 6 | 4 | 72 | 0 | 52 | +4.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 8 |  DEN | 7 | 5 | 67 | 0 | 49 | +2.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 7 |  SEA | 8 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 53 | -0.1 | No |
| 26 wk 6 |  LAC | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 36 | +3.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  LV | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 14 | -0.2 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  MIA | 2 | 2 | 59 | 1 | 33 | +6.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  IND | 11 | 9 | 101 | 1 | 56 | +5.1 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 | DEN | 5 | 3 | 71 | 0 | 29 | +5.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 | LV | 6 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 48 | -0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 17 | DEN | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 41 | +1.4 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  TEN | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 22 | -3.2 | No |
| 25 wk 15 | LAC | 9 | 7 | 70 | 0 | 70 | +3.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  HOU | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 39 | -5.2 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  DAL | 6 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 57 | +5.5 | No |
| 25 wk 12 | IND | 6 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 76 | +2.4 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | DEN | 13 | 9 | 91 | 1 | 61 | +6.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  BUF | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 53 | +5.8 | Yes |