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15Adonai Mitchell
New York Jets#152 yrs expTexas; Georgia74 · 205 lbElite depth, weak efficiency
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
56: replacement level
One number for how well Mitchell has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 48 (#105 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 44.5
Receptions over 3.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 44.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 2 |  GB | 12 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 178 | +5.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  TEN | 3 | 3 | 60 | 0 | 59 | +3.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 |  BUF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | -2.4 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  NE | 9 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 116 | -7.6 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  NO | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 72 | +2.4 | No |
| 25 wk 15 |  JAX | 9 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 88 | +3.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  MIA | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 78 | -8.3 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  ATL | 12 | 8 | 102 | 1 | 173 | +4.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  BAL | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 182 | +2.2 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | NE | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 104 | -2.4 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  PIT | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 8 | TEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 7 |  LAC | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | +0.3 | No |
| 25 wk 5 |  LV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | -1.7 | No |
| 25 wk 4 |  LA | 4 | 3 | 96 | 0 | 87 | -4.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 3 | TEN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 | No |
| 25 wk 2 |  DEN | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 107 | +0.2 | No |