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15Adonai Mitchell
New York Jets#152 yrs expTexas; Georgia74 · 205 lbElite depth, weak efficiency
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
54: replacement level
One number for how well Mitchell has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 48 (#105 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
Where Mitchell can hurt the Bills
How he gets his production, set against how the Bills have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How BUF defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Buffalo rank 17th against intermediate throws, which make up 27% of Mitchell's targets.
- Don't force short throws: they've been Mitchell's worst return (-0.25 EPA a target), and Buffalo are 8th there.
- Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 33rd percentile for separation and 37th for hands, and Christian Benford, Maxwell Hairston, Davison Igbinosun and Taron Johnson all allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
BUF's corners, last 17 games
Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.
| Corner | Targets | Yds / target | Catch % | Depth faced | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Benford | 60 | 6.0 | 50% | 12.4 | 84 |
| Maxwell Hairston | 48 | 7.3 | 56% | 14.5 | 86 |
| Davison Igbinosun | 33 | 5.9 | 52% | 12.7 | 89 |
| Taron Johnson | 27 | 6.7 | 63% | 6.6 | 92 |
The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  KC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 126 | -6.5 |
| 26 wk 8 |  LV | 9 | 7 | 142 | 1 | 222 | +13.0 |
| 26 wk 7 |  MIA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | -2.3 |
| 26 wk 2 |  GB | 12 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 178 | +5.6 |
| 26 wk 1 |  TEN | 3 | 3 | 60 | 0 | 59 | +3.1 |
| 25 wk 18 | BUF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | -2.4 |
| 25 wk 17 |  NE | 9 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 116 | -7.6 |
| 25 wk 16 |  NO | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 72 | +2.4 |
| 25 wk 15 |  JAX | 9 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 88 | +3.1 |
| 25 wk 14 | MIA | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 78 | -8.3 |
| 25 wk 13 |  ATL | 12 | 8 | 102 | 1 | 173 | +4.8 |
| 25 wk 12 |  BAL | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 182 | +2.2 |
| 25 wk 11 | NE | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 104 | -2.4 |
| 25 wk 9 |  PIT | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 25 wk 8 | TEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 25 wk 7 |  LAC | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 25 wk 5 | LV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | -1.7 |