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4DFourth & Data
Fri 01:15WASNYG66%Sun 14:30NEDET56%Sun 18:00BUF69%NYJSun 18:00CAR55%NOSun 18:00HOU67%CLESun 18:00JAX77%TENSun 18:00KC75%ATLSun 18:00MIAIND54%Sun 18:00MINGB80%Sun 21:05LA74%ARISun 21:05SEA68%LVSun 21:25SF66%DALMon 01:20PITCIN66%Tue 01:15LACBAL59%
Breece Hall20
Jets · RB

Breece Hall

New York Jets#204 yrs expIowa State71 · 220 lb
86Form
91Established
High-end starter#19 of 84 running backs
Games17last 17
Carries27115.9 a game
Rush yards11324.2 a carry
Rec yards400
Rush TDs5
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 84 running backs

Best at workload, less so after contact

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Beating expectation: 73th percentileAfter contact: 35th percentileElusiveness: 49th percentileExplosiveness: 64th percentileReceiving role: 71th percentileWorkload: 89th percentileBeating expectation73rdAfter contact35thElusiveness49thExplosiveness64thReceiving role71stWorkload89th
HallPosition averageElite, 90th
Beating expectationAbove avgrush yards over expected per carry
+0.43 yd73rd pct
After contactyards after contact per carry
1.71 yd35th pct
Elusivenessbroken tackles per touch
0.04849th pct
Explosivenessshare of runs of 10+ yards
9.6%64th pct
Receiving roleAbove avgshare of team targets
9.6%71st pct
WorkloadAbove avgshare of offensive snaps
63%89th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

86: high-end starter

One number for how well Hall has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 91 (#10 of 69).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
65
Consistencyhow steady game to game
38
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
56
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedAverage

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 17

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Receiving yards over 17.5

Cleared8/17
Market says49%
Price1.91
line 17.53042014144267580149181663232617 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Receptions over 2.5

Cleared6/17
Market says44%
Price2.15
line 2.55402212420222253317 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 56.5

Cleared10/17
Market says50%
Price1.91
line 56.58111359381338358446843235411110229326117 games agolatest
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 0 games010–19 yds: 0 games20–29 yds: 2 games2030–39 yds: 2 games40–49 yds: 2 games4050–59 yds: 3 games60–69 yds: 2 games6070–79 yds: 0 games80–89 yds: 2 games8090–99 yds: 0 games100–109 yds: 1 games100110–119 yds: 2 games120–129 yds: 0 games120130–139 yds: 1 games
13/17games with 40+ yds
8/17games with 60+ yds
6/17games with 80+ yds
4/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 18.4 25 wk 4: 1925 wk 5: 1825 wk 6: 2225 wk 7: 1325 wk 8: 2025 wk 10: 2225 wk 11: 1625 wk 12: 2025 wk 13: 2125 wk 14: 1425 wk 15: 1425 wk 16: 1825 wk 17: 1626 wk 1: 2426 wk 2: 2126 wk 3: 1626 wk 9: 1825 wk 426 wk 9
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentCarRush ydsTDTgtRecRec ydsOver 17.5
26 wk 9KC156104326Yes
26 wk 3DET133203323Yes
26 wk 2GB162905563Yes
26 wk 1TEN2210212216No
25 wk 17NE1411113218Yes
25 wk 16NO16540329No
25 wk 15JAX122302214No
25 wk 14MIA14430100No
25 wk 13ATL19681228No
25 wk 12BAL164404475Yes
25 wk 11NE14580226No
25 wk 10CLE218301142Yes
25 wk 8CIN1813323214No
25 wk 7CAR113803214No
25 wk 6DEN22590000No
25 wk 5DAL1411305442Yes
25 wk 4MIA148106530Yes