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Kenneth Walker III9
Chiefs · RB

Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs#94 yrs expMichigan State; Wake Forest69 · 210 lb
98Form
79Established
Elite creator#2 of 84 running backsBreakout: 19 above his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Carries27416.1 a game
Rush yards14275.2 a carry
Rec yards374
Rush TDs9
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 84 running backs

Elite elusiveness, less so after contact

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Beating expectation: 93th percentileAfter contact: 79th percentileElusiveness: 96th percentileExplosiveness: 95th percentileReceiving role: 85th percentileWorkload: 82th percentileBeating expectation93rdAfter contact79thElusiveness96thExplosiveness95thReceiving role85thWorkload82nd
IIIPosition averageElite, 90th
Beating expectationEliterush yards over expected per carry
+1.24 yd93rd pct
After contactAbove avgyards after contact per carry
2.19 yd79th pct
ElusivenessElitebroken tackles per touch
0.09796th pct
ExplosivenessEliteshare of runs of 10+ yards
15.0%95th pct
Receiving roleAbove avgshare of team targets
12.2%85th pct
WorkloadAbove avgshare of offensive snaps
61%82nd pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

98: elite creator

One number for how well III has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 79 (#24 of 69).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
89
Consistencyhow steady game to game
35
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
71
Trend, last 6 gamesSteady
Schedule facedSoft

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 17

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Receiving yards over 21.5

Cleared6/17
Market says51%
Price1.87
line 21.53443018-12646361861321121154117 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Receptions over 3.5

Cleared5/17
Market says42%
Price2.25
line 3.51333113243621244417 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 83.5

Cleared7/17
Market says50%
Price1.89
line 83.5676771562917100519717311770177128366910217 games agolatest
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–24 yds: 1 games025–49 yds: 2 games2550–74 yds: 7 games5075–99 yds: 1 games75100–124 yds: 3 games100125–149 yds: 1 games125150–174 yds: 1 games150175–199 yds: 1 games175
14/17games with 40+ yds
12/17games with 60+ yds
7/17games with 80+ yds
6/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 18.9 25 wk 10: 1525 wk 11: 1925 wk 12: 1425 wk 13: 1625 wk 14: 1125 wk 15: 1025 wk 16: 1425 wk 17: 1725 wk 18: 2026 wk 1: 2626 wk 2: 3026 wk 3: 2026 wk 4: 2326 wk 6: 2126 wk 7: 1826 wk 8: 2526 wk 9: 2225 wk 1026 wk 9
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentCarRush ydsTDTgtRecRec ydsOver 21.5
26 wk 9NYJ1810214441Yes
26 wk 8DEN216905415No
26 wk 7SEA143605421No
26 wk 6LAC1912823211No
26 wk 4LV221772112No
26 wk 3MIA18701223No
26 wk 2IND24117010661Yes
26 wk 1DEN2317316318No
25 wk 18SF169704436Yes
25 wk 17CAR15510226No
25 wk 16LA1110013364Yes
25 wk 15IND9170112No
25 wk 14ATL1029031-1No
25 wk 13MIN135604318No
25 wk 12TEN117104330Yes
25 wk 11LA166713344Yes
25 wk 10ARI14670113No