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Bijan Robinson7
Falcons · RB

Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons#73 yrs expTexas71 · 214 lb
98Form
95Established
Elite creator#2 of 80 running backs
Games17last 17
Carries29017.1 a game
Rush yards14665.1 a carry
Rec yards794
Rush TDs7
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 80 running backs

Elite receiving role, less so elusiveness

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Beating expectation: 88th percentileAfter contact: 84th percentileElusiveness: 69th percentileExplosiveness: 81th percentileReceiving role: 98th percentileWorkload: 96th percentileBeating expectation88thAfter contact84thElusiveness69thExplosiveness81stReceiving role98thWorkload96th
RobinsonPosition averageElite, 90th
Beating expectationAbove avgrush yards over expected per carry
+0.80 yd88th pct
After contactAbove avgyards after contact per carry
2.28 yd84th pct
ElusivenessAbove avgbroken tackles per touch
0.06569th pct
ExplosivenessAbove avgshare of runs of 10+ yards
12.4%81st pct
Receiving roleEliteshare of team targets
21.2%98th pct
WorkloadEliteshare of offensive snaps
77%96th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

98: elite creator

One number for how well Robinson has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 95 (#6 of 69).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
87
Consistencyhow steady game to game
8
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
35
Trend, last 6 gamesCooling
Schedule facedAverage

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 17

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Receiving yards over 40.5

Cleared8/17
Market says50%
Price1.91
line 40.53910668522350439375188292341090917 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Receptions over 4.5

Cleared9/17
Market says51%
Price1.86
line 4.55466382425287538317 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 77.5

Cleared8/17
Market says50%
Price1.88
line 77.57275170402546841047014286937619533837217 games agolatest
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–24 yds: 0 games025–49 yds: 4 games2550–74 yds: 3 games5075–99 yds: 6 games75100–124 yds: 1 games100125–149 yds: 1 games125150–174 yds: 1 games150175–199 yds: 1 games175
15/17games with 40+ yds
13/17games with 60+ yds
8/17games with 80+ yds
4/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 21.8 25 wk 3: 1825 wk 4: 2125 wk 6: 2525 wk 7: 2025 wk 8: 1225 wk 9: 2025 wk 10: 1925 wk 11: 2725 wk 12: 1625 wk 13: 2825 wk 14: 2225 wk 15: 2725 wk 16: 2325 wk 17: 2725 wk 18: 1826 wk 1: 2926 wk 2: 1925 wk 326 wk 2
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentCarRush ydsTDTgtRecRec ydsOver 40.5
26 wk 2CAR16720439No
26 wk 1PIT2183010890Yes
25 wk 18NO153303310No
25 wk 17LA2219518534No
25 wk 16ARI1676011792Yes
25 wk 15TB1993111882Yes
25 wk 14SEA20860228No
25 wk 13NYJ2314217551Yes
25 wk 12NO147002237No
25 wk 11CAR2310425439No
25 wk 10IND17840224No
25 wk 9NE1246010850Yes
25 wk 8MIA92503323No
25 wk 7SF144008652Yes
25 wk 6BUF1917018668Yes
25 wk 4WAS1775154106Yes
25 wk 3CAR137206539No