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30Chase Brown
Cincinnati Bengals#303 yrs expIllinois; Western Michigan70 · 210 lbElite receiving role, less so elusiveness
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
86: high-end starter
One number for how well Brown has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 72 (#32 of 69).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 22.5
Receptions over 3.5
Rushing yards over 63.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Car | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Over 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 2 |  HOU | 20 | 80 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  TB | 16 | 56 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 22 | No |
| 25 wk 18 |  CLE | 13 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 18 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  ARI | 22 | 101 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 40 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 |  MIA | 12 | 66 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 43 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  BAL | 13 | 53 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 37 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  BUF | 12 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | No |
| 25 wk 13 | BAL | 15 | 78 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 35 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  NE | 19 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 23 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  PIT | 18 | 99 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 28 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  CHI | 11 | 37 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 75 | Yes |
| 25 wk 8 |  NYJ | 12 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 32 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 | PIT | 11 | 108 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -8 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  GB | 9 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | No |
| 25 wk 5 |  DET | 8 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 21 | No |
| 25 wk 4 |  DEN | 10 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | Yes |
| 25 wk 3 |  MIN | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | No |