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85Chig Okonkwo
Washington Commanders#854 yrs expMaryland75 · 238 lbBest at volume, weak efficiency
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
75: quality starter
One number for how well Okonkwo has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 56 (#46 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 35.5
Receptions over 3.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 35.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  LA | 7 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 36 | -1.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 8 |  PHI | 4 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 54 | -3.2 | No |
| 26 wk 6 |  SF | 7 | 7 | 69 | 0 | 35 | +2.7 | Yes |
| 26 wk 5 |  NYG | 6 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 40 | +3.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  IND | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 21 | -2.4 | No |
| 26 wk 1 | PHI | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 39 | +0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 18 |  JAX | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | -3.8 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  NO | 7 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 58 | +3.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 |  KC | 8 | 6 | 44 | 1 | 4 | +2.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 | SF | 6 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 | No |
| 25 wk 14 |  CLE | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 | No |
| 25 wk 13 | JAX | 5 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 40 | -0.8 | No |
| 25 wk 12 |  SEA | 4 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 20 | +2.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  HOU | 3 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 55 | +4.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  LAC | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | -1.2 | No |
| 25 wk 8 | IND | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 32 | +3.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  NE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | -5.7 | No |