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J.J. McCarthy18
Giants · QB

J.J. McCarthy

New York Giants#182 yrs expMichigan75 · 219 lb
46Form
–Building
Below replacement#62 of 68 quarterbacks
Games14last 17
Completion58.8%183/311
Yards2254161 a game
TD–INT12–13
EPA / dropback-0.13
Skill profile · last 14 games · vs 68 quarterbacks

Elite aggression, weak sack avoidance

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Accuracy: 18th percentileAggression: 98th percentileEfficiency: 18th percentileBall security: 26th percentileSack avoidance: 14th percentileLegs: 49th percentileAccuracy18thAggression98thEfficiency18thBall security26thSack avoidance14thLegs49th
McCarthyPosition averageElite, 90th
AccuracyBelow avgcompletion % over expected
-3.318th pct
AggressionEliteavg intended air yards
10.0 yd98th pct
EfficiencyBelow avgEPA per dropback
-0.1318th pct
Ball securityBelow avginterception-worthy throws
4.3% INT-worthy26th pct
Sack avoidanceBelow avgsack rate
10.4% sacked14th pct
Legsrushing EPA per game
+0.34/g49th pct
F&D score · current form, last 14 games

46: below replacement

One number for how well McCarthy has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
31
Consistencyhow steady game to game
47
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
25
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedSoft

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top quarterbacks · F&D form now
Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 14

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Passing TDs over 1.5

Cleared4/14
Market says36%
Price2.61
line 1.52021103200010014 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Passing yards over 210.5

Cleared4/14
Market says50%
Price1.90
line 210.514315814324815087163250108182024325212714 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 18.5

Cleared7/14
Market says50%
Price1.88
line 18.525251248010191520722612214 games agolatest
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–24 yds: 1 games025–49 yds: 0 games50–74 yds: 0 games5075–99 yds: 1 games100–124 yds: 1 games100125–149 yds: 3 games150–174 yds: 3 games150175–199 yds: 1 games200–224 yds: 0 games200225–249 yds: 2 games250–274 yds: 2 games250
4/14games with 200+ yds
2/14games with 250+ yds
0/14games with 300+ yds
0/14games with 350+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 161.0 yds25 wk 1: 14325 wk 2: 15825 wk 9: 14325 wk 10: 24825 wk 11: 15025 wk 12: 8725 wk 14: 16325 wk 15: 25025 wk 16: 10825 wk 18: 18226 wk 5: 026 wk 6: 24326 wk 7: 25226 wk 9: 12725 wk 126 wk 9
Game log · last 14

Every game

GameOpponentCmpAttYdsTDINTSackedRush ydsEPAOver 210.5
26 wk 9PHI121912700522-1.9No
26 wk 7HOU20282520031+5.6Yes
26 wk 6NO112124311126+5.0Yes
26 wk 5WAS0000002–No
25 wk 18GB14231820007+7.6No
25 wk 16NYG91410801320-8.3No
25 wk 15DAL152425021015+12.0Yes
25 wk 14WAS162316330419+9.3No
25 wk 12GB12198702510-16.5No
25 wk 11CHI16321501200-13.1No
25 wk 10BAL204224812148-9.9Yes
25 wk 9DET142514321512-7.4No
25 wk 2ATL112115802625-18.0No
25 wk 1CHI132014321325-9.8No