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12Nico Collins
Houston Texans#125 yrs expMichigan76 · 222 lbElite hands, weak separation
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
93: elite creator
One number for how well Collins has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 98 (#3 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
Where Collins can hurt the Browns
How he gets his production, set against how the Browns have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How CLE defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Cleveland are mid-table or better at every depth over their last 17 games. Collins's likeliest route is intermediate throws (40% of his targets), where they rank 12th.
- Work the middle: 28% of his targets go that way and Cleveland rank 23rd defending throws there.
- Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 0th percentile for separation and 96th for hands, and Denzel Ward, Tyson Campbell and Mekhi Blackmon all allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
CLE's corners, last 17 games
Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.
| Corner | Targets | Yds / target | Catch % | Depth faced | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Harden | 76 | 7.5 | 63% | 8.4 | 93 |
| Denzel Ward | 73 | 4.5 | 44% | 10.8 | 65 |
| Tyson Campbell | 69 | 7.3 | 61% | 11.5 | 88 |
| Mekhi Blackmon | 18 | 5.1 | 44% | 13.9 | 62 |
The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  LAC | 4 | 4 | 55 | 1 | 33 | +5.9 |
| 26 wk 7 |  NYG | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 49 | -3.8 |
| 26 wk 6 |  JAX | 5 | 3 | 74 | 0 | 73 | +5.1 |
| 26 wk 5 |  TEN | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 82 | +4.5 |
| 26 wk 4 |  DAL | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 | 112 | +9.4 |
| 26 wk 1 |  BUF | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 120 | +4.9 |
| 25 wk 17 | LAC | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 57 | +4.3 |
| 25 wk 16 |  LV | 9 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 153 | +1.7 |
| 25 wk 15 |  ARI | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 | 35 | +8.0 |
| 25 wk 14 |  KC | 8 | 4 | 121 | 0 | 129 | +3.7 |
| 25 wk 13 |  IND | 10 | 5 | 98 | 0 | 180 | +6.2 |
| 25 wk 12 | BUF | 3 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 36 | +3.1 |
| 25 wk 11 | TEN | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 | 104 | +7.8 |
| 25 wk 10 | JAX | 15 | 7 | 136 | 0 | 188 | -2.1 |
| 25 wk 9 |  DEN | 11 | 7 | 75 | 0 | 148 | +4.1 |
| 25 wk 7 |  SEA | 10 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 102 | -6.5 |
| 25 wk 5 |  BAL | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 | 64 | +5.2 |