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DK Metcalf4
Steelers · WR

DK Metcalf

Pittsburgh Steelers#47 yrs expMississippi76 · 235 lb
63Form
86Established
Situation-dependent#92 of 151 wide receiversBelow his usual: 23 under his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Targets1277.5 a game
Catches7055% caught
Yards82248 a game
TDs3
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 151 wide receivers

Best at volume, weak efficiency

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 86th percentileDepth: 54th percentileSeparation: 37th percentileAfter the catch: 69th percentileHands: 30th percentileEfficiency: 24th percentileVolume86thDepth54thSeparation37thAfter the catch69thHands30thEfficiency24th
MetcalfPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeAbove avgshare of team targets
23.1%86th pct
Depthavg depth of target
11.6 yd54th pct
Separationyards of separation at the catch
2.63 yd37th pct
After the catchAbove avgYAC over expected per catch
+0.8 yd69th pct
HandsBelow avgdrop rate
5.5% drops30th pct
EfficiencyBelow avgEPA per target
+0.0524th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

63: situation-dependent

One number for how well Metcalf has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 86 (#27 of 121).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
49
Consistencyhow steady game to game
12
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
26
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedSoft

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top wide receivers · F&D form now
The matchup · week 10 · PIT at CIN

Where Metcalf can hurt the Bengals

How he gets his production, set against how the Bengals have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.

DK Metcalf · against CIN

Best way in: short throws

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)
56%
Intermediate
23%
Deep (20+)
21%
Left side
39%
Middle
19%
Right side
43%

How CIN defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)
28th
Intermediate
16th
Deep (20+)
4th
Left side
27th
Middle
16th
Right side
22nd
Yards after catch allowed
32nd
Sack rate forced
5th
The read
  1. Cincinnati rank 28th against short throws, which make up 56% of Metcalf's targets.
  2. Don't force deep balls: they've been Metcalf's worst return (-0.38 EPA a target), and Cincinnati are 4th there.
  3. Work the left side: 39% of his targets go that way and Cincinnati rank 27th defending throws there.
  4. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 37th percentile for separation and 30th for hands, and Daxton Hill, DJ Turner and DJ Ivey all allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
  5. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

CIN's corners, last 17 games

Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.

CornerTargetsYds / targetCatch %Depth facedRating
Daxton Hill827.056%9.285
DJ Turner625.750%11.583
DJ Ivey366.956%11.591
Jalen Davis317.561%9.684

The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.

Full game preview
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 2 games010–19 yds: 1 games20–29 yds: 2 games2030–39 yds: 3 games40–49 yds: 3 games4050–59 yds: 3 games60–69 yds: 0 games6070–79 yds: 0 games80–89 yds: 0 games8090–99 yds: 1 games100–109 yds: 0 games100110–119 yds: 1 games120–129 yds: 0 games120130–139 yds: 0 games140–149 yds: 1 games140
9/17games with 40+ yds
3/17games with 60+ yds
3/17games with 80+ yds
2/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 7.5 targets25 wk 8: 725 wk 9: 425 wk 10: 725 wk 11: 825 wk 12: 825 wk 13: 525 wk 14: 1225 wk 15: 325 wk 16: 926 wk 1: 1026 wk 2: 926 wk 3: 526 wk 4: 926 wk 5: 426 wk 6: 1526 wk 7: 626 wk 8: 625 wk 826 wk 8
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 8CLE614072-5.6
26 wk 7NO62560110+1.9
26 wk 6TB1511930118+2.8
26 wk 5IND4312015-0.7
26 wk 4CLE951150155+5.6
26 wk 3CIN5331173+2.5
26 wk 2NE9427062-3.2
26 wk 1ATL104400204-5.4
25 wk 16DET94420105+0.2
25 wk 15MIA3355133+6.2
25 wk 14BAL1271480166+6.8
25 wk 13BUF5332024+4.9
25 wk 12CHI8522049-4.6
25 wk 11CIN8549088+0.6
25 wk 10LAC73350118-7.7
25 wk 9IND42607-2.2
25 wk 8GB7555169+3.6