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88AJ Barner
Seattle Seahawks#882 yrs expMichigan; Indiana78 · 251 lbBest at separation, weak depth
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
81: high-end starter
One number for how well Barner has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 89 (#11 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 21.5
Receptions over 2.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  SF | 5 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 7 | +0.1 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  LAC | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 18 | -1.0 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  WAS | 9 | 5 | 69 | 0 | 10 | -8.4 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  ARI | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8 | +0.5 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  NE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 18 | SF | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 9 | -0.7 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  CAR | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1 | 10 | +6.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 |  LA | 6 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 31 | +2.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  IND | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 23 | +1.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  ATL | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 14 | +1.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 |  MIN | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 9 | +4.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  TEN | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 29 | +0.3 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | LA | 11 | 10 | 70 | 0 | 30 | +3.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 | ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | No |
| 25 wk 9 | WAS | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 16 | +2.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  HOU | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 13 | -5.2 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  JAX | 3 | 3 | 71 | 0 | 40 | +4.6 | Yes |