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85Cole Kmet
Chicago Bears#856 yrs expNotre Dame78 · 258 lbElite separation, weak volume
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
95: elite creator
One number for how well Kmet has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 92 (#8 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 9.5
Receptions over 1.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  GB | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +0.9 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  NYJ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 9 | +1.7 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  PHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -0.6 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1.2 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  CAR | 3 | 2 | 35 | 1 | 47 | +3.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 |  DET | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | -4 | +2.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 |  SF | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 25 | +1.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 16 | GB | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -0.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  CLE | 4 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 36 | +0.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 | GB | 3 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 53 | -0.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 | PHI | 3 | 3 | 36 | 1 | 26 | +3.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  PIT | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | MIN | 5 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 16 | +2.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 |  NYG | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 12 | -0.4 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  CIN | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 27 | +0.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  NO | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 16 | +1.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 |  WAS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | -1.0 | No |