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1Jameson Williams
Detroit Lions#14 yrs expAlabama; Ohio State73 · 182 lbElite efficiency, weak hands
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
97: elite creator
One number for how well Williams has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 94 (#11 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 54.5
Receptions over 3.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 54.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  MIA | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 46 | +0.8 | No |
| 26 wk 8 |  MIN | 6 | 4 | 70 | 1 | 89 | +1.0 | Yes |
| 26 wk 7 |  GB | 9 | 5 | 91 | 2 | 89 | +2.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 5 |  ARI | 4 | 2 | 47 | 2 | 118 | +8.1 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  CAR | 8 | 6 | 102 | 0 | 136 | +7.1 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  NYJ | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 48 | +3.3 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  BUF | 4 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 50 | +1.5 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  NO | 9 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 127 | +0.4 | No |
| 25 wk 18 |  CHI | 8 | 6 | 74 | 0 | 35 | +5.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 | MIN | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 33 | +2.0 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  PIT | 9 | 5 | 70 | 0 | 117 | +1.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  LA | 10 | 7 | 134 | 1 | 171 | +8.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  DAL | 9 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 110 | +5.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 | GB | 10 | 7 | 144 | 1 | 87 | +7.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 12 |  NYG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | -3.1 | No |
| 25 wk 11 |  PHI | 7 | 4 | 88 | 1 | 75 | +1.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 |  WAS | 7 | 6 | 119 | 1 | 70 | +10.3 | Yes |