SEA
HOU
BAL
CLE
CAR
CHI
ATL
NO
NE
PIT
TB
TEN
ARI
LA
BUF
19Marvin Mims Jr.
Denver Broncos#193 yrs expOklahoma71 · 182 lbElite separation, weak volume
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
54: replacement level
One number for how well Jr. has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 73 (#54 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 10.5
Receptions over 1.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 10.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  LAC | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -6 | -1.1 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  SF | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 18 | -0.1 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | No |
| 25 wk 18 | LAC | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -11 | +0.0 | No |
| 25 wk 17 | KC | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 14 | -0.8 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  JAX | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 5 | -1.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  GB | 6 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 66 | -1.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  LV | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | -0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  WAS | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  DAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -0.5 | No |
| 25 wk 7 |  NYG | 7 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 92 | +3.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 |  NYJ | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 59 | +1.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 5 |  PHI | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 85 | -3.5 | No |
| 25 wk 4 |  CIN | 6 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 21 | +2.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 3 | LAC | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 88 | -3.0 | No |
| 25 wk 2 |  IND | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 18 | +1.7 | Yes |