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Tyler Warren84
Colts · TE

Tyler Warren

Indianapolis Colts#841 yrs expPenn State78 · 256 lb
53Form
75Established
Replacement level#61 of 77 tight endsBelow his usual: 22 under his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Targets1207.1 a game
Catches8168% caught
Yards65338 a game
TDs3
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 77 tight ends

Elite volume, weak efficiency

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 95th percentileDepth: 25th percentileSeparation: 34th percentileAfter the catch: 34th percentileHands: 75th percentileEfficiency: 6th percentileVolume95thDepth25thSeparation34thAfter the catch34thHands75thEfficiency6th
WarrenPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeEliteshare of team targets
22.2%95th pct
DepthBelow avgavg depth of target
4.7 yd25th pct
SeparationBelow avgyards of separation at the catch
3.21 yd34th pct
After the catchBelow avgYAC over expected per catch
-0.0 yd34th pct
HandsAbove avgdrop rate
1.7% drops75th pct
EfficiencyBelow avgEPA per target
-0.156th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

53: replacement level

One number for how well Warren has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 75 (#26 of 62).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
42
Consistencyhow steady game to game
35
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
10
Trend, last 6 gamesCooling
Schedule facedTough

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top tight ends · F&D form now
The matchup · week 10 · MIA at IND

Where Warren can hurt the Dolphins

How he gets his production, set against how the Dolphins have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.

Tyler Warren · against MIA

Best way in: intermediate throws

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)
76%
Intermediate
23%
Deep (20+)
2%
Left side
43%
Middle
24%
Right side
33%

How MIA defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)
26th
Intermediate
32nd
Deep (20+)
17th
Left side
21st
Middle
30th
Right side
30th
Yards after catch allowed
19th
Sack rate forced
17th
The read
  1. Miami rank 32nd against intermediate throws, which make up 22% of Warren's targets.
  2. Work the middle: 24% of his targets go that way and Miami rank 30th defending throws there.
  3. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 34th percentile for separation and 75th for hands, and Rasul Douglas allows fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
  4. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

MIA's corners, last 17 games

Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.

CornerTargetsYds / targetCatch %Depth facedRating
Rasul Douglas464.848%11.859
Jason Marshall4310.270%11.8113
Jack Jones369.875%12.0109
Chris Johnson3010.173%7.3105

The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.

Full game preview
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 0 games010–19 yds: 4 games20–29 yds: 4 games2030–39 yds: 1 games40–49 yds: 4 games4050–59 yds: 2 games60–69 yds: 0 games6070–79 yds: 0 games80–89 yds: 1 games8090–99 yds: 1 games
9/17games with 30+ yds
4/17games with 50+ yds
2/17games with 70+ yds
1/17games with 90+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 7.1 targets25 wk 8: 525 wk 9: 725 wk 10: 1025 wk 12: 725 wk 13: 425 wk 14: 625 wk 15: 625 wk 16: 925 wk 17: 525 wk 18: 826 wk 1: 526 wk 2: 726 wk 3: 1026 wk 4: 526 wk 5: 926 wk 8: 1026 wk 9: 725 wk 826 wk 9
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 9DAL7444050+0.0
26 wk 8JAX10418051-19.7
26 wk 5PIT9783086+4.5
26 wk 4WAS5541021+2.3
26 wk 3HOU10955028+1.9
26 wk 2KC76211-13-0.1
26 wk 1BAL5313123-0.6
25 wk 18HOU8526037-5.1
25 wk 17JAX5543023+4.2
25 wk 16SF9330069-11.8
25 wk 15SEA6319043-3.4
25 wk 14JAX6215033-2.3
25 wk 13HOU4322112+0.8
25 wk 12KC7545016+1.8
25 wk 10ATL10899049+7.8
25 wk 9PIT752607-1.2
25 wk 8TEN5453033+2.8