CLE
CAR
PHI
CHI
ATL
NO
NYG
NYJ
NE
PIT
TB
LA
GB
WAS
7C.J. Stroud
Houston Texans#73 yrs expOhio State75 · 218 lbBest at efficiency, less so accuracy
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
90: elite creator
One number for how well Stroud has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 72 (#21 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 252.5
Rushing yards over 9.5
Where Stroud can hurt the Jaguars
How he gets his production, set against how the Jaguars have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
How JAX defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Jacksonville rank 5th in EPA per dropback allowed over their last 17 games. Their weakest area is deep balls (13th).
- Pressure: Jacksonville are 26th at getting sacks, and Houston are 7th at avoiding them.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 252.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  TEN | 26 | 34 | 261 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  DAL | 21 | 31 | 347 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +15.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  IND | 16 | 27 | 167 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3.1 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  CIN | 30 | 55 | 353 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | -6.4 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  BUF | 26 | 38 | 274 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | +1.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 | IND | 14 | 23 | 169 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +4.1 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  LAC | 16 | 28 | 244 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  LV | 23 | 35 | 187 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 | No |
| 25 wk 15 |  ARI | 22 | 29 | 260 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | +15.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  KC | 15 | 31 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 13 | IND | 22 | 35 | 276 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +7.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  DEN | 6 | 10 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +3.1 | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  SF | 30 | 39 | 318 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | +19.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  SEA | 23 | 49 | 229 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | -13.5 | No |
| 25 wk 5 |  BAL | 23 | 27 | 244 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | +18.2 | No |
| 25 wk 4 | TEN | 22 | 28 | 233 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | +8.2 | No |
| 25 wk 3 | JAX | 25 | 38 | 204 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | -4.2 | No |