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1Evan Engram
Denver Broncos#19 yrs expMississippi75 · 240 lbElite separation, weak hands
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified tight end over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
57: replacement level
One number for how well Engram has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified tight end; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 48 (#55 of 62).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 21.5
Receptions over 2.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  LAC | 4 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 32 | +1.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  SF | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 25 | -1.6 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  LA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  JAX | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 17 | +1.0 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  KC | 5 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 18 | +4.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 | LAC | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 30 | +0.7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 | KC | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 7 | -0.5 | No |
| 25 wk 16 | JAX | 4 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 29 | +0.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  GB | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 4 | -0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 14 |  LV | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  WAS | 9 | 6 | 79 | 0 | 39 | +1.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 | KC | 5 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 2 | +0.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 | LV | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 30 | -3.1 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  HOU | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | -3.2 | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  DAL | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 19 | +3.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  NYG | 8 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 |  NYJ | 6 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 30 | +6.0 | Yes |