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5Garrett Wilson
New York Jets#54 yrs expOhio State72 · 183 lbElite volume, weak depth
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
77: quality starter
One number for how well Wilson has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 55 (#91 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 63.5
Receptions over 5.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 8 |  LV | 12 | 6 | 83 | 0 | 165 | +0.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 7 |  MIA | 3 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 25 | +0.4 | No |
| 26 wk 6 |  NE | 6 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 56 | +3.9 | No |
| 26 wk 5 |  CLE | 11 | 7 | 104 | 1 | 92 | +6.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  CHI | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 31 | -1.2 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  DET | 13 | 10 | 107 | 1 | 132 | +6.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  GB | 7 | 5 | 57 | 1 | 75 | +2.7 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  TEN | 7 | 6 | 79 | 0 | 77 | +5.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 | CLE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -6.2 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  DEN | 8 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 38 | -5.4 | No |
| 25 wk 5 |  DAL | 10 | 6 | 71 | 1 | 135 | +4.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 4 | MIA | 8 | 6 | 82 | 1 | 78 | +3.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 3 |  TB | 13 | 10 | 84 | 1 | 75 | -1.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 2 |  BUF | 8 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 73 | -0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 1 |  PIT | 9 | 7 | 95 | 1 | 86 | +3.2 | Yes |
| 24 wk 18 | MIA | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 15 | +4.1 | No |
| 24 wk 17 | BUF | 8 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 54 | +1.8 | Yes |