NE
DET
BUF
NYJ
CAR
HOU
CLE
JAX
TEN
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
LV
PIT
CIN
BAL
5Jayden Daniels
Washington Commanders#52 yrs expLSU; Arizona State76 · 210 lbElite legs, weak sack avoidance
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
84: high-end starter
One number for how well Daniels has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 83 (#13 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 200.5
Rushing yards over 35.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 200.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  LA | 24 | 35 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | -3.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 8 |  PHI | 16 | 29 | 217 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | +2.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 6 |  SF | 29 | 40 | 300 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +2.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 5 |  NYG | 17 | 25 | 199 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 103 | -2.4 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  DAL | 11 | 17 | 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 69 | +0.2 | No |
| 26 wk 1 | PHI | 18 | 34 | 164 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | +3.9 | No |
| 25 wk 14 |  MIN | 9 | 20 | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | -11.3 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  SEA | 16 | 22 | 153 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 51 | -1.3 | No |
| 25 wk 7 | DAL | 12 | 22 | 156 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | -5.9 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  CHI | 19 | 26 | 211 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 52 | +6.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 5 |  LAC | 15 | 26 | 231 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 39 | +14.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 2 |  GB | 24 | 42 | 200 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | -8.1 | No |
| 25 wk 1 | NYG | 19 | 30 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 68 | +1.4 | Yes |
| 24 wk 18 | DAL | 6 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | -11.4 | No |
| 24 wk 17 |  ATL | 24 | 36 | 227 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 127 | +5.0 | Yes |
| 24 wk 16 | PHI | 24 | 39 | 258 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 81 | +4.4 | Yes |
| 24 wk 15 |  NO | 25 | 31 | 226 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 66 | +1.1 | Yes |