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10Luther Burden III
Chicago Bears#101 yrs expMissouri72 · 210 lbElite separation, weak depth
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
80: high-end starter
One number for how well III has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 51.5
Receptions over 4.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 51.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  GB | 6 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 78 | -1.7 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  NYJ | 6 | 4 | 63 | 0 | 59 | +3.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  PHI | 11 | 7 | 61 | 1 | 56 | -1.1 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  MIN | 7 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 87 | -3.6 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  CAR | 5 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 36 | +1.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 18 |  DET | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 12 | +2.8 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  SF | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 | 88 | +11.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  CLE | 7 | 6 | 84 | 0 | 50 | +2.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 | GB | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 60 | +6.0 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 | PHI | 6 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 32 | -1.7 | No |
| 25 wk 12 |  PIT | 5 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 38 | +2.2 | No |
| 25 wk 11 | MIN | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 37 | +0.2 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  NYG | 3 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 34 | +3.3 | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  BAL | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -3 | -0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 7 |  NO | 2 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 39 | +0.8 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  WAS | 4 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 15 | +2.7 | No |
| 25 wk 4 |  LV | 2 | 2 | -4 | 0 | -7 | -2.4 | No |