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4DFourth & Data
Fri 01:15SEA53%DENSun 14:30HOUJAX64%Sun 18:00BAL69%CLESun 18:00CAR57%PHISun 18:00CHI56%ATLSun 18:00NONYG60%Sun 18:00NYJNE78%Sun 18:00PITTB50%Sun 18:00TENIND70%Sun 21:05ARILA69%Sun 21:25BUF70%LVSun 21:25LACKC85%Mon 01:20DAL53%GBTue 01:15WASSF85%
RJ Harvey12
Broncos · RB

RJ Harvey

Denver Broncos#121 yrs expUCF; Virginia68 · 205 lb
46Form
–Building
Below replacement#74 of 82 running backs
Games17last 17
Carries1347.9 a game
Rush yards4583.4 a carry
Rec yards419
Rush TDs7
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 82 running backs

Best at receiving role, weak beating expectation

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Beating expectation: 3th percentileAfter contact: 5th percentileElusiveness: 30th percentileExplosiveness: 5th percentileReceiving role: 88th percentileWorkload: 46th percentileBeating expectation3rdAfter contact5thElusiveness30thExplosiveness5thReceiving role88thWorkload46th
HarveyPosition averageElite, 90th
Beating expectationBelow avgrush yards over expected per carry
-1.36 yd3rd pct
After contactBelow avgyards after contact per carry
1.42 yd5th pct
ElusivenessBelow avgbroken tackles per touch
0.03630th pct
ExplosivenessBelow avgshare of runs of 10+ yards
5.2%5th pct
Receiving roleAbove avgshare of team targets
12.2%88th pct
Workloadshare of offensive snaps
44%46th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

46: below replacement

One number for how well Harvey has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
28
Consistencyhow steady game to game
15
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
72
Trend, last 6 gamesCooling
Schedule facedTough

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Props · this week

This week's lines against his last 17

Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.

This week · draftkings

Receiving yards over 20.5

Cleared9/17
Market says51%
Price1.86
line 20.5182125519202725071335234168017 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Receptions over 3.5

Cleared8/17
Market says51%
Price1.85
line 3.534115233604514610017 games agolatest
This week · draftkings

Rushing yards over 14.5

Cleared10/17
Market says49%
Price1.93
line 14.5124046593035756550432818625717 games agolatest
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 6 games010–19 yds: 2 games1020–29 yds: 2 games2030–39 yds: 2 games3040–49 yds: 2 games4050–59 yds: 1 games5060–69 yds: 1 games6070–79 yds: 1 games70
5/17games with 40+ yds
2/17games with 60+ yds
0/17games with 80+ yds
0/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 11.3 25 wk 5: 725 wk 6: 625 wk 7: 525 wk 8: 825 wk 9: 725 wk 10: 625 wk 11: 1425 wk 13: 1625 wk 14: 2325 wk 15: 1925 wk 16: 1125 wk 17: 1925 wk 18: 1626 wk 1: 726 wk 3: 826 wk 4: 1726 wk 5: 325 wk 526 wk 5
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentCarRush ydsTDTgtRecRec ydsOver 20.5
26 wk 5LAC370100No
26 wk 4SF7250101068Yes
26 wk 3LA2607641Yes
26 wk 1KC31804423Yes
25 wk 18LAC15280415No
25 wk 17KC144306533Yes
25 wk 16JAX75015471Yes
25 wk 15GB19651100No
25 wk 14LV177516625Yes
25 wk 13WAS133524327Yes
25 wk 11KC113003320No
25 wk 10LV490329No
25 wk 9HOU2505551Yes
25 wk 8DAL7462115No
25 wk 7NYG400212No
25 wk 6NYJ2404421Yes
25 wk 5PHI41203318No