Skip to main content
Christian Watson9
Packers · WR

Christian Watson

Green Bay Packers#94 yrs expNorth Dakota State76 · 215 lb
90Form
79Established
Elite creator#22 of 144 wide receiversBreakout: 11 above his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Targets975.7 a game
Catches6163% caught
Yards108564 a game
TDs12
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 144 wide receivers

Elite depth, weak separation

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 70th percentileDepth: 95th percentileSeparation: 5th percentileAfter the catch: 75th percentileHands: 55th percentileEfficiency: 91th percentileVolume70thDepth95thSeparation5thAfter the catch75thHands55thEfficiency91st
WatsonPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeAbove avgshare of team targets
19.1%70th pct
DepthEliteavg depth of target
15.7 yd95th pct
SeparationBelow avgyards of separation at the catch
2.12 yd5th pct
After the catchAbove avgYAC over expected per catch
+1.0 yd75th pct
Handsdrop rate
4.1% drops55th pct
EfficiencyEliteEPA per target
+0.5291st pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

90: elite creator

One number for how well Watson has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 79 (#41 of 121).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
69
Consistencyhow steady game to game
85
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
16
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedTough

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top wide receivers · F&D form now
Puka Nacua99DeMario Douglas99
Brandon Aiyuk98
Drake London98Alec Pierce97
Christian Watson · #2290
The matchup · week 6 · DAL at GB

Where Watson can hurt the Cowboys

How he gets his production, set against how the Cowboys have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.

Christian Watson · against DAL

The shot plays are there

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)
41%
Intermediate
33%
Deep (20+)
26%
Left side
34%
Middle
28%
Right side
38%

How DAL defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)
29th
Intermediate
30th
Deep (20+)
25th
Left side
32nd
Middle
32nd
Right side
23rd
Yards after catch allowed
28th
Sack rate forced
29th
The read
  1. Dallas rank 25th against deep balls, and 26% of Watson's targets travel 20+ yards (the average WR is at 17%).
  2. Work the middle: 28% of his targets go that way and Dallas rank 32nd defending throws there.
  3. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 5th percentile for separation and 55th for hands, and Trikweze Bridges allows fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
  4. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

DAL's corners, last 17 games

Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.

CornerTargetsYds / targetCatch %Depth facedRating
DaRon Bland829.166%9.7104
Shavon Revel487.665%10.095
Reddy Steward3810.784%8.4112
Trikweze Bridges235.539%13.567

The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.

Full game preview
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–9 yds: 2 games010–19 yds: 1 games20–29 yds: 1 games2030–39 yds: 0 games40–49 yds: 5 games4050–59 yds: 1 games60–69 yds: 0 games6070–79 yds: 0 games80–89 yds: 3 games8090–99 yds: 1 games100–109 yds: 0 games100110–119 yds: 1 games120–129 yds: 0 games120130–139 yds: 0 games140–149 yds: 2 games140
13/17games with 40+ yds
7/17games with 60+ yds
7/17games with 80+ yds
3/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 5.7 targets24 wk 16: 124 wk 18: 125 wk 8: 425 wk 9: 425 wk 10: 425 wk 11: 525 wk 12: 725 wk 13: 1025 wk 14: 425 wk 15: 525 wk 16: 625 wk 17: 626 wk 1: 826 wk 2: 1126 wk 3: 1026 wk 4: 326 wk 5: 824 wk 1626 wk 5
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 5CHI861432179+10.3
26 wk 4TB3347023+4.9
26 wk 3ATL10796191+2.0
26 wk 2NYJ11441186-3.8
26 wk 1MIN861472127+6.9
25 wk 17BAL65113193+8.2
25 wk 16CHI6217050-4.7
25 wk 15DEN53290133-2.0
25 wk 14CHI4489243+9.6
25 wk 13DET104801186+3.4
25 wk 12MIN7549087+4.3
25 wk 11NYG5446274+5.9
25 wk 10PHI42450126+1.8
25 wk 9CAR42580112-0.8
25 wk 8PIT4485073+6.5
24 wk 18CHI10004-0.8
24 wk 16NO100040-1.4