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Christian Watson9
Packers · WR

Christian Watson

Green Bay Packers#94 yrs expNorth Dakota State76 · 215 lb
96Form
79Established
Elite creator#8 of 151 wide receiversBreakout: 17 above his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Targets1217.1 a game
Catches7864% caught
Yards134779 a game
TDs13
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 151 wide receivers

Elite efficiency, weak separation

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 84th percentileDepth: 95th percentileSeparation: 6th percentileAfter the catch: 73th percentileHands: 69th percentileEfficiency: 96th percentileVolume84thDepth95thSeparation6thAfter the catch73rdHands69thEfficiency96th
WatsonPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeAbove avgshare of team targets
22.8%84th pct
DepthEliteavg depth of target
15.4 yd95th pct
SeparationBelow avgyards of separation at the catch
2.14 yd6th pct
After the catchAbove avgYAC over expected per catch
+0.9 yd73rd pct
HandsAbove avgdrop rate
3.3% drops69th pct
EfficiencyEliteEPA per target
+0.5996th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

96: elite creator

One number for how well Watson has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 79 (#41 of 121).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
74
Consistencyhow steady game to game
95
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
42
Trend, last 6 gamesRising
Schedule facedTough

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top wide receivers · F&D form now
The matchup · week 10 · MIN at GB

Where Watson can hurt the Vikings

How he gets his production, set against how the Vikings have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.

Christian Watson · against MIN

A tough draw

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)
43%
Intermediate
30%
Deep (20+)
27%
Left side
31%
Middle
29%
Right side
40%

How MIN defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)
10th
Intermediate
1st
Deep (20+)
8th
Left side
6th
Middle
6th
Right side
2nd
Yards after catch allowed
24th
Sack rate forced
1st
The read
  1. Minnesota are top ten against short, intermediate and deep throws over their last 17 games (10th, 1st, 8th). There's no obvious soft spot for Watson to lean on.
  2. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 6th percentile for separation and 69th for hands, and Byron Murphy, Isaiah Rodgers, James Pierre and Fabian Moreau all allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
  3. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

MIN's corners, last 17 games

Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.

CornerTargetsYds / targetCatch %Depth facedRating
Byron Murphy816.462%7.972
Isaiah Rodgers706.754%9.577
James Pierre214.348%9.951
Fabian Moreau193.747%5.661

The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.

Full game preview
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–24 yds: 1 games025–49 yds: 6 games2550–74 yds: 2 games5075–99 yds: 3 games75100–124 yds: 2 games100125–149 yds: 2 games125150–174 yds: 1 games150
15/17games with 40+ yds
9/17games with 60+ yds
8/17games with 80+ yds
5/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 7.1 targets25 wk 10: 425 wk 11: 525 wk 12: 725 wk 13: 1025 wk 14: 425 wk 15: 525 wk 16: 625 wk 17: 626 wk 1: 826 wk 2: 1126 wk 3: 1026 wk 4: 326 wk 5: 826 wk 6: 826 wk 7: 826 wk 8: 1026 wk 9: 825 wk 1026 wk 9
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 9NE871711190+14.6
26 wk 8CAR1081130130+1.4
26 wk 7DET85570101+5.0
26 wk 6DAL83640145+3.9
26 wk 5CHI861432179+10.3
26 wk 4TB3347023+4.9
26 wk 3ATL10796191+2.0
26 wk 2NYJ11441186-3.8
26 wk 1MIN861472127+6.9
25 wk 17BAL65113193+8.2
25 wk 16CHI6217050-4.7
25 wk 15DEN53290133-2.0
25 wk 14CHI4489243+9.6
25 wk 13DET104801186+3.4
25 wk 12MIN7549087+4.3
25 wk 11NYG5446274+5.9
25 wk 10PHI42450126+1.8