
Chuba Hubbard
Elite beating expectation, less so elusiveness
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
93: elite creator
One number for how well Hubbard has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 80 (#23 of 69).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Rushing yards over 74.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Car | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 | 16 | 79 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 8 | 22 | 81 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 38 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 7 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 27 | No | |
| 26 wk 6 | 28 | 120 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 4 | 20 | 122 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 3 | 19 | 82 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 28 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 2 | 12 | 53 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | No | |
| 26 wk 1 | 10 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 38 | No | |
| 25 wk 18 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | No | |
| 25 wk 17 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | No | |
| 25 wk 16 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | No | |
| 25 wk 15 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | No | |
| 25 wk 13 | 17 | 83 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 41 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 12 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 27 | No | |
| 25 wk 11 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | No | |
| 25 wk 10 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | No | |
| 25 wk 9 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No |