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16Jared Goff
Detroit Lions#1610 yrs expCalifornia76 · 217 lbElite efficiency, weak legs
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
87: high-end starter
One number for how well Goff has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 94 (#5 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 267.5
Rushing yards over 0.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 267.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  MIA | 17 | 25 | 170 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3.4 | No |
| 26 wk 8 |  MIN | 18 | 25 | 176 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4.2 | No |
| 26 wk 7 |  GB | 22 | 32 | 303 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +9.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 5 |  ARI | 19 | 30 | 271 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +16.4 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  CAR | 32 | 52 | 412 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +12.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  NYJ | 25 | 32 | 269 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +12.1 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  BUF | 26 | 38 | 327 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +18.6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  NO | 26 | 39 | 206 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +5.9 | No |
| 25 wk 18 |  CHI | 27 | 42 | 331 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +12.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 | MIN | 18 | 29 | 197 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -7.9 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  PIT | 34 | 54 | 364 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +10.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  LA | 25 | 41 | 338 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +12.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  DAL | 25 | 34 | 309 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +12.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 | GB | 20 | 26 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | +9.5 | No |
| 25 wk 12 |  NYG | 28 | 42 | 279 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -6.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  PHI | 14 | 37 | 255 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -14.3 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  WAS | 25 | 33 | 320 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +25.3 | Yes |