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27J.K. Dobbins
Denver Broncos#276 yrs expOhio State70 · 214 lbBest at after contact, weak receiving role
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified running back over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
81: high-end starter
One number for how well Dobbins has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified running back; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 97 (#3 of 69).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 4.5
Receptions over 1.5
Rushing yards over 47.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Car | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Over 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  LAC | 18 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  SF | 11 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  LA | 17 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  JAX | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  KC | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  LV | 18 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  HOU | 15 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  DAL | 15 | 111 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  NYG | 14 | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | No |
| 25 wk 6 |  NYJ | 14 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No |
| 25 wk 5 |  PHI | 20 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 4 |  CIN | 16 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | No |
| 25 wk 3 | LAC | 11 | 83 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | No |
| 25 wk 2 |  IND | 14 | 76 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 1 |  TEN | 16 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | Yes |
| 24 wk 18 | LV | 18 | 63 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | Yes |
| 24 wk 17 |  NE | 19 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Yes |