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10Khalil Shakir
Buffalo Bills#104 yrs expBoise State72 · 190 lbElite separation, weak depth
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
81: high-end starter
One number for how well Shakir has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 98 (#3 of 121).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Receiving yards over 41.5
Receptions over 3.5
Where Shakir can hurt the Jets
How he gets his production, set against how the Jets have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
Where his targets come from
Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.
How NYJ defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- the Jets rank 32nd against short throws and 28th for yards after the catch allowed. Shakir takes 80% of his targets short and is 71st percentile after the catch.
- Work the right side: 45% of his targets go that way and the Jets rank 32nd defending throws there.
- Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.
NYJ's corners, last 17 games
Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.
| Corner | Targets | Yds / target | Catch % | Depth faced | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Stephens | 83 | 8.2 | 63% | 10.8 | 105 |
| Azareye'h Thomas | 60 | 5.2 | 57% | 8.5 | 83 |
| Jarvis Brownlee | 45 | 6.3 | 62% | 8.0 | 90 |
| Qwan'tez Stiggers | 20 | 9.2 | 65% | 14.6 | 92 |
The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Air yds | EPA | Over 41.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  MIN | 4 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 19 | +5.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 8 |  BAL | 6 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 13 | +5.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 6 |  LV | 6 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 27 | +2.6 | No |
| 26 wk 5 |  LA | 3 | 3 | 80 | 0 | 17 | +5.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 4 |  NE | 8 | 7 | 82 | 0 | 29 | +0.5 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  LAC | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 11 | -0.1 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  DET | 6 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 73 | +0.5 | No |
| 26 wk 1 |  HOU | 6 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 39 | +0.5 | Yes |
| 25 wk 17 |  PHI | 7 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 6 | -1.8 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  CLE | 5 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 8 | -1.5 | No |
| 25 wk 15 | NE | 5 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 44 | +4.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  CIN | 3 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 4 | +0.9 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  PIT | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2.4 | No |
| 25 wk 12 | HOU | 10 | 8 | 110 | 0 | 15 | -4.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  TB | 3 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 21 | -2.3 | No |
| 25 wk 10 |  MIA | 9 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 63 | +3.8 | Yes |
| 25 wk 9 |  KC | 8 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 | Yes |