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Tetairoa McMillan4
Panthers · WR

Tetairoa McMillan

Carolina Panthers#41 yrs expArizona77 · 220 lb
80Form
64Established
High-end starter#47 of 144 wide receiversBreakout: 16 above his last three seasons
Games17last 17
Targets1267.4 a game
Catches7862% caught
Yards112166 a game
TDs9
Skill profile · last 17 games · vs 144 wide receivers

Best at volume, weak after the catch

Each axis is a percentile against every qualified wide receiver over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).

Volume: 89th percentileDepth: 56th percentileSeparation: 49th percentileAfter the catch: 25th percentileHands: 40th percentileEfficiency: 64th percentileVolume89thDepth56thSeparation49thAfter the catch25thHands40thEfficiency64th
McMillanPosition averageElite, 90th
VolumeAbove avgshare of team targets
26.0%89th pct
Depthavg depth of target
11.8 yd56th pct
Separationyards of separation at the catch
2.75 yd49th pct
After the catchBelow avgYAC over expected per catch
-0.1 yd25th pct
Handsdrop rate
4.8% drops40th pct
EfficiencyEPA per target
+0.3064th pct
F&D score · current form, last 17 games

80: high-end starter

One number for how well McMillan has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified wide receiver; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 64 (#72 of 121).

Contributionthe skill profile, efficiency-weighted
58
Consistencyhow steady game to game
52
Holds up vs good Doutput against the tougher half
59
Trend, last 6 gamesCooling
Schedule facedSoft

Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.

Top wide receivers · F&D form now
Puka Nacua99DeMario Douglas99
Brandon Aiyuk98
Drake London98Alec Pierce97
Tetairoa McMillan · #4780
The matchup · week 6 · CAR at PHI

Where McMillan can hurt the Eagles

How he gets his production, set against how the Eagles have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.

Tetairoa McMillan · against PHI

Best way in: intermediate throws

Profile

Where his targets come from

Share of his targets. The white tick is the league average.

Short (under 10)
46%
Intermediate
34%
Deep (20+)
20%
Left side
40%
Middle
19%
Right side
41%

How PHI defend it

Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.

Short (under 10)
6th
Intermediate
18th
Deep (20+)
11th
Left side
24th
Middle
3rd
Right side
4th
Yards after catch allowed
18th
Sack rate forced
15th
The read
  1. Philadelphia rank 18th against intermediate throws, which make up 34% of McMillan's targets.
  2. Don't force short throws: they've been McMillan's worst return (-0.14 EPA a target), and Philadelphia are 6th there.
  3. Work the left side: 40% of his targets go that way and Philadelphia rank 24th defending throws there.
  4. Contested catches aren't his edge this week: he's 49th percentile for separation and 40th for hands, and Quinyon Mitchell and Adoree' Jackson both allow fewer yards per target than the average corner (7.4).
  5. Free data doesn't show who covers whom on each snap, so this is the defence's profile, not a confirmed one-on-one.

PHI's corners, last 17 games

Who is likely to see him. Free data doesn't say who covers whom on each snap, so this is the group, not a confirmed matchup.

CornerTargetsYds / targetCatch %Depth facedRating
Quinyon Mitchell746.150%12.573
Cooper DeJean707.661%10.173
Adoree' Jackson556.762%8.883
Kelee Ringo229.259%17.183

The average corner allows 7.4 yards per target. Red is tighter than average, green is looser.

Full game preview
Floor and ceiling

How his games are spread

0–24 yds: 2 games025–49 yds: 6 games2550–74 yds: 3 games5075–99 yds: 3 games75100–124 yds: 1 games100125–149 yds: 1 games125150–174 yds: 0 games150175–199 yds: 1 games175
11/17games with 40+ yds
9/17games with 60+ yds
5/17games with 80+ yds
3/17games with 100+ yds
Role

Game by game

avg 7.4 targets25 wk 5: 825 wk 6: 525 wk 7: 525 wk 8: 1025 wk 9: 625 wk 10: 825 wk 11: 1225 wk 12: 725 wk 13: 225 wk 15: 425 wk 16: 1025 wk 17: 425 wk 18: 626 wk 1: 826 wk 2: 1026 wk 3: 526 wk 4: 1625 wk 526 wk 4
Game log · last 17

Every game

GameOpponentTgtRecYdsTDAir ydsEPA
26 wk 4DET16141922152+16.7
26 wk 3CLE5217044-1.8
26 wk 2ATL1051010132+3.6
26 wk 1CHI85750119-2.5
25 wk 18TB6485089+4.5
25 wk 17SEA415049-11.4
25 wk 16TB106731117+6.0
25 wk 15NO4225046+1.3
25 wk 13LA2143146+5.7
25 wk 12SF7235197-4.6
25 wk 11ATL1281302118+10.3
25 wk 10NO8560089-2.1
25 wk 9GB6446061+2.3
25 wk 8BUF107990106+4.8
25 wk 7NYJ5333050+1.4
25 wk 6DAL5329252-3.4
25 wk 5MIA86730120+6.5