
Tyler Shough
Best at accuracy, less so sack avoidance
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
79: quality starter
One number for how well Shough has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. The three-season score needs more games before it means anything.
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 252.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 252.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 | 21 | 35 | 265 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 51 | -2.2 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 7 | 30 | 38 | 278 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +10.6 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 6 | 16 | 30 | 144 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | -0.5 | No | |
| 26 wk 5 | 16 | 25 | 96 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -11.9 | No | |
| 26 wk 4 | 30 | 48 | 286 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.7 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 3 | 29 | 42 | 255 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 36 | -3.6 | Yes | |
| 26 wk 2 | 27 | 34 | 252 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | +10.9 | No | |
| 26 wk 1 | 35 | 56 | 410 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -1.0 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 18 | 23 | 35 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | -2.6 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 17 | 22 | 27 | 333 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +18.2 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 16 | 32 | 49 | 308 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +2.7 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 15 | 24 | 32 | 272 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 32 | +8.6 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 14 | 13 | 20 | 144 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 55 | +1.8 | No | |
| 25 wk 13 | 26 | 38 | 239 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | -11.2 | No | |
| 25 wk 12 | 30 | 43 | 243 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | -10.3 | No | |
| 25 wk 10 | 19 | 27 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 | +11.8 | Yes | |
| 25 wk 9 | 15 | 24 | 176 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -0.1 | No |