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10Bo Nix
Denver Broncos#102 yrs expOregon; Auburn74 · 217 lbElite sack avoidance, weak aggression
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
74: quality starter
One number for how well Nix has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 75 (#19 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 199.5
Rushing yards over 16.5
Where Nix can hurt the Seahawks
How he gets his production, set against how the Seahawks have held up in their last 17 games. Ranks are of 32.
How SEA defend it
Ranked of 32, last 17 games. Green is a weakness to attack.
- Seattle rank 1st in EPA per dropback allowed over their last 17 games. Their weakest area is short throws (13th).
- Pressure: Seattle are 10th at getting sacks, and Denver are 2nd at avoiding them.
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 199.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 5 |  LAC | 16 | 27 | 123 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -6.5 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  SF | 25 | 42 | 214 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +4.7 | Yes |
| 26 wk 3 |  LA | 17 | 34 | 186 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1.1 | No |
| 26 wk 2 |  JAX | 22 | 31 | 288 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +8.4 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  KC | 17 | 28 | 131 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -14.4 | No |
| 25 wk 18 | LAC | 14 | 23 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 49 | -5.8 | No |
| 25 wk 17 | KC | 26 | 38 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 42 | +2.9 | No |
| 25 wk 16 | JAX | 28 | 47 | 352 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | +0.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 15 |  GB | 23 | 34 | 302 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +20.6 | Yes |
| 25 wk 14 |  LV | 31 | 38 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | +5.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 13 |  WAS | 29 | 45 | 321 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | +9.9 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 | KC | 24 | 37 | 295 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +5.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 | LV | 16 | 28 | 150 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -6.5 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  HOU | 18 | 37 | 173 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 36 | -3.5 | No |
| 25 wk 8 |  DAL | 19 | 29 | 247 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +14.1 | Yes |
| 25 wk 7 |  NYG | 27 | 50 | 279 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 48 | -1.4 | Yes |
| 25 wk 6 |  NYJ | 19 | 30 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | +5.1 | No |